vs VAN (Jan 19, 2007)@ CBJ (Jan 26, 2007) ›

January 20, 2007

Centre Bell | Montreal

BUF 34 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0213
MTL2114
Shots on goal BUF 27, MTL 31W C. HuetL M. Biron
Summary

MTL had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .871
MTL C. Huet .889
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
MTL 2 of 5
TURNING POINT
M. Ryder goal (P3 17:07), Sabres win chance drops from 51% to 5%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Brière
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Brière
20:35
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
22:32
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.871 (27/31)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 17 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 17:07M. Ryder (15) 51% to 5%-46
  2. P3 08:37D. Brière (18) 16% to 51%+35
  3. P1 08:00G. Latendresse (10) 51% to 33%-18
  4. P2 16:11D. Roy (9) 9% to 25%+16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
2
2
+2
2
4
1.4
15:48
#48 D. Brière (C)
2
0
2
+1
0
3
1.7
20:35
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
15:30
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
10:04
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
3
0.8
17:17
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
0
2
2
0.7
16:25
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
0
2
1
0.9
20:45
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:02
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
10:24
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
4
1
0.2
8:31
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
17:23
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.1
12:25
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
11:13
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
22:32
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
17:17
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.3
22:27
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
16:32
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
18:53
Total
3
6
9
16
27
8.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron314.871-0.359:16L

Team Stats

BUFMTL
27Shots on Goal31
3Power Play Chances5
0%PP%40%
60%PK%100%
0PPG2
16Penalty Minutes12
15Hits21
17Blocked Shots13
8Giveaways17
20Takeaways11

Full Game Log

1ST
08:00GOAL (MTL): Guillaume Latendresse (10), assists: Tomas Plekanec, Mark Streit
19:30GOAL (MTL): Saku Koivu (16), assists: Alex Kovalev, Andrei Markov
2ND
04:49GOAL (MTL): Francis Bouillon (2), unassisted
09:04GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (17), assists: Jason Pominville, Thomas Vanek
16:11GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (9), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Ales Kotalik
3RD
08:37GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (18), assists: Brian Campbell, Jason Pominville
17:07GOAL (MTL): Michael Ryder (15), assists: Alexander Perezhogin, Maxim Lapierre
vs VAN (Jan 19, 2007)@ CBJ (Jan 26, 2007) ›