vs OTT (Feb 7, 2007)vs EDM (Feb 15, 2007) ›

February 10, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

CGY 23 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs CGY all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
CGY011002
BUF011013
Shots on goal CGY 25, BUF 34W R. MillerL M. Kiprusoff
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .920
CGY M. Kiprusoff .941
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
CGY 2 of 5
TURNING POINT
D. Brière goal (P3 16:28), Sabres win chance rises from 7% to 51%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Vanek
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
20:05
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
24:40
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.920 (23/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCGY

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:07
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFCGY

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCGY
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 16:28D. Brière (24) 7% to 51%+44
  2. P3 07:53D. Moss (6) 51% to 18%-33
  3. P2 16:54T. Vanek (29) 25% to 53%+28
  4. P2 03:45K. Huselius (25) 51% to 31%-20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2006–07 regular season (82 games).

Wins (53)Losses (29, 7 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 82% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 84% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 73% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 78% when yes, 39% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 D. Roy (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.8
19:48
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.9
17:32
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
4
1.0
19:57
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
20:05
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.5
22:37
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.7
19:09
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
18:02
#13 J. Novotny (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:46
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
15:46
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
4:09
#23 C. Drury (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
19:58
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.3
18:36
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
19:41
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
3
0.3
24:40
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
3:32
#27 T. Numminen (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
21:17
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
19:02
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
19:03
Total
2
4
6
12
34
6.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller252.9200.865:00W

Team Stats

CGYBUF
25Shots on Goal34
5Power Play Chances3
40%PP%0%
100%PK%60%
2PPG0
8Penalty Minutes12
19Hits16
14Blocked Shots13
12Giveaways20
6Takeaways4

Full Game Log

2ND
03:45GOAL (CGY): Kristian Huselius (25), assists: Dion Phaneuf, Roman Hamrlik
16:54GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (29), assists: Derek Roy, Dmitri Kalinin
3RD
07:53GOAL (CGY): David Moss (6), assists: Alex Tanguay, Roman Hamrlik
16:28GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (24), assists: Jochen Hecht, Henrik Tallinder
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik, assists: Miikka Kiprusoff(SO)
vs OTT (Feb 7, 2007)vs EDM (Feb 15, 2007) ›