@ NYI (Oct 6, 2007) ›

October 5, 2007

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYI 64 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYI3216
BUF3104
Shots on goal NYI 34, BUF 26W R. DiPietroL R. Miller
Summary

NYI had more shots on goal in all situations and won 6-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .824
NYI R. DiPietro .846
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
NYI 3 of 3
TURNING POINT
M. Comrie goal (P2 16:04), Sabres win chance drops from 52% to 25%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Spacek
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
D. Roy
22:55
TOI (F)
B. Campbell
22:37
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.824 (28/34)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 23 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFNYI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 16:04M. Comrie (2) 52% to 25%-27
  2. P2 08:23T. Vanek (1) 28% to 53%+25
  3. P2 07:35M. Comrie (1) 53% to 28%-25
  4. P1 18:19D. Stafford (1) 31% to 53%+22

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#6 J. Spacek (D)
1
1
2
+1
0
1
1.4
21:58
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.3
22:55
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
15:24
#21 D. Stafford (RW)
1
0
1
+1
2
1
0.7
15:43
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
1
0
1
+1
4
3
0.7
18:03
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.7
14:59
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.0
20:32
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.8
16:32
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.6
17:17
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
22:37
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
17:57
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
6:49
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.5
21:13
#37 M. Ryan (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
5:57
#55 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
18:52
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:24
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
18:42
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
17:36
Total
4
7
11
8
26
9.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller346.824-1.758:42L

Team Stats

NYIBUF
34Shots on Goal26
3Power Play Chances4
100%PP%0%
100%PK%0%
3PPG0
8Penalty Minutes8
20Hits15
9Blocked Shots7
7Giveaways11
3Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
02:56GOAL (BUF): Jaroslav Spacek (1), assists: Brian Campbell, Paul Gaustad
09:16GOAL (NYI): Josef Vasicek (1), assists: Bruno Gervais, Miroslav Satan
12:04GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (1), assists: Maxim Afinogenov
16:08GOAL (NYI): Ruslan Fedotenko (1), assists: Bill Guerin, Mike Comrie
16:42GOAL (NYI): Chris Campoli (1), assists: Ruslan Fedotenko, Mike Comrie
18:19GOAL (BUF): Drew Stafford (1), assists: Daniel Paille, Jaroslav Spacek
2ND
07:35GOAL (NYI): Mike Comrie (1), assists: Ruslan Fedotenko, Bill Guerin
08:23GOAL (BUF): Thomas Vanek (1), assists: Nathan Paetsch, Dmitri Kalinin
16:04GOAL (NYI): Mike Comrie (2), assists: Bill Guerin, Marc-Andre Bergeron
3RD
07:05GOAL (NYI): Trent Hunter (1), assists: Mike Sillinger, Bruno Gervais
@ NYI (Oct 6, 2007) ›