vs PHI (Feb 25, 2008)vs MTL (Feb 29, 2008) ›

February 27, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NSH 48 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NSH0314
BUF2428
Shots on goal NSH 33, BUF 33W R. MillerL C. Mason
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 8-4.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .923
Buffalo J. Thibault .714
NSH C. Mason .737
NSH D. Ellis .786
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
NSH 2 of 6
TURNING POINT
S. Bernier goal (P1 4:33), Sabres win chance rises from 55% to 73%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Lydman
4 (4A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
21:34
TOI (F)
J. Spacek
23:54
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.923 (24/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 5 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFNSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 04:33S. Bernier (14) 55% to 73%+18
  2. P2 04:13A. Peters (1) 76% to 90%+14
  3. P2 03:20J. Arnott (23) 90% to 76%-14
  4. P2 14:50J. Pominville (19) 79% to 93%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
4
4
+3
2
2
2.6
17:50
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
2
3
+2
0
4
2.3
18:23
#56 S. Bernier (RW)
2
1
3
+3
0
4
2.5
15:44
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
1
2
+4
2
2
1.8
21:34
#19 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.7
18:31
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
2
2
+3
0
5
1.5
17:31
#20 D. Paille (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
14:06
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+2
5
1
0.8
9:35
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
1
1
0
4
2
0.8
14:20
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
21:07
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
1
1
+1
4
0
1.1
6:25
#76 A. Peters (LW)
1
0
1
+1
5
2
0.9
5:44
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.8
15:09
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+2
4
2
0.5
22:24
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.1
13:59
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
0
0
+3
0
0
0.0
23:54
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+3
0
0
0.1
17:24
#38 N. Paetsch (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
1
0.1
16:15
Total
8
16
24
32
33
19.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller262.9230.951:44W
#35 J. Thibault72.714-1.08:16

Team Stats

NSHBUF
33Shots on Goal33
6Power Play Chances4
33%PP%0%
100%PK%67%
2PPG0
33Penalty Minutes32
17Hits20
3Blocked Shots16
7Giveaways8
2Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
04:33GOAL (BUF): Steve Bernier (14), assists: Derek Roy, Thomas Vanek
14:07GOAL (BUF): Steve Bernier (15), assists: Toni Lydman, Thomas Vanek
2ND
02:01GOAL (BUF): Daniel Paille (14), assists: Paul Gaustad, Toni Lydman
02:46GOAL (NSH): Jan Hlavac (10), assists: Marek Zidlicky, Martin Erat
03:20GOAL (NSH): Jason Arnott (23), assists: J-P Dumont, Alexander Radulov
04:13GOAL (BUF): Andrew Peters (1), assists: Patrick Kaleta, Adam Mair
07:53GOAL (NSH): Jason Arnott (24), assists: Marek Zidlicky, David Legwand
14:50GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (19), assists: Ales Kotalik, Nolan Pratt
17:49GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (25), assists: Steve Bernier, Toni Lydman
3RD
03:04GOAL (NSH): David Legwand (14), assists: Ryan Suter, Marek Zidlicky
07:35GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (6), assists: Toni Lydman, Ales Kotalik
13:03GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (19), assists: Tim Connolly, Dmitri Kalinin
vs PHI (Feb 25, 2008)vs MTL (Feb 29, 2008) ›