vs NYR (Feb 23, 2008)vs NSH (Feb 27, 2008) ›

February 25, 2008

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PHI 43 BUF

FINAL / SO

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
PHI201014
BUF300003
Shots on goal PHI 35, BUF 29W M. BironL R. Miller
Summary

PHI had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3 in a shootout.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .914
PHI M. Biron .897
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
PHI 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
R. Umberger goal (P3 12:45), Sabres win chance drops from 85% to 52%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Pominville
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
T. Vanek
5
SHOTS
D. Roy
25:24
TOI (F)
T. Lydman
25:22
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.914 (32/35)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 17 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 3:07
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

OT 5:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 12:45R. Umberger (12) 85% to 52%-33
  2. P1 06:31D. Roy (24) 54% to 72%+18
  3. P1 16:21S. Hartnell (20) 88% to 74%-14
  4. P1 06:42C. MacArthur (8) 72% to 86%+14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2007–08 regular season (82 games).

Wins (39)Losses (43, 12 in overtime or a shootout)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 76% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 82% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 68% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 56% when yes, 35% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#19 T. Connolly (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
2
1.5
20:24
#29 J. Pominville (RW)
1
1
2
+3
2
3
1.6
20:22
#6 J. Spacek (D)
0
2
2
+3
2
0
1.4
21:41
#9 D. Roy (C)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.3
25:24
#41 C. MacArthur (LW)
1
0
1
+3
0
3
1.0
17:20
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
17:56
#20 D. Paille (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
18:56
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
12:03
#26 T. Vanek (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
5
0.2
19:10
#28 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
18:17
#36 P. Kaleta (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
4:43
#76 A. Peters (LW)
0
0
0
-1
5
0
0.0
2:38
#4 N. Pratt (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
13:50
#5 T. Lydman (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
25:22
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.1
24:36
#17 M. Gragnani (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
6:07
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:52
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+3
0
1
0.2
24:03
Total
3
5
8
17
29
8.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller353.9141.065:00O

Team Stats

PHIBUF
35Shots on Goal29
5Power Play Chances4
20%PP%0%
100%PK%80%
1PPG0
15Penalty Minutes17
21Hits25
10Blocked Shots17
8Giveaways8
4Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
06:31GOAL (BUF): Derek Roy (24), assists: Jaroslav Spacek
06:42GOAL (BUF): Clarke MacArthur (8), assists: Jason Pominville, Tim Connolly
14:16GOAL (BUF): Jason Pominville (18), assists: Tim Connolly, Jaroslav Spacek
14:33GOAL (PHI): Jeff Carter (20), assists: Mike Knuble, Randy Jones
16:21GOAL (PHI): Scott Hartnell (20), assists: Patrick Thoresen
3RD
12:45GOAL (PHI): R.J. Umberger (12), assists: Braydon Coburn, Mike Knuble
SO
00:00GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik, assists: Martin Biron(SO)
00:00GOAL (PHI): Jeff Carter, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
00:00GOAL (PHI): Daniel Brière, assists: Ryan Miller(SO)
vs NYR (Feb 23, 2008)vs NSH (Feb 27, 2008) ›