vs OTT (Nov 27, 1992)@ MTL (Nov 30, 1992) ›

November 29, 1992

Ottawa Civic Centre | Ottawa

BUF 52 OTT

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0235
OTT0022
Shots on goal BUF 24, OTT 22W D. PuppaL P. Sidorkiewicz
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Puppa .909
OTT P. Sidorkiewicz .792
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 8
OTT 0 of 7
TURNING POINT
A. Mogilny goal (P2 12:24), Sabres win chance rises from 62% to 81%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
P. LaFontaine
2 (2G)
POINTS
D. Puppa
.909 (20/22)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 65%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 12:24A. Mogilny (15) 62% to 81%+19
  2. P2 17:42P. LaFontaine (17) 82% to 94%+12
  3. P2 10:56Interference on Chris Luongo, 2 min 61% to 66%+5
  4. P2 08:10Hooking on Sylvain Turgeon, 2 min 58% to 63%+5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1992–93 regular season (84 games).

Wins (38)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 70% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 75% when yes, 29% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 71% when yes, 31% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 64% when yes, 25% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
2
0
2
+1
0
2
1.7
#89 A. Mogilny (RW)
2
0
2
0
0
7
2.0
#10 D. Hawerchuk (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
4
0.7
#14 D. Hannan (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
#25 D. Andreychuk (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.6
#28 D. Audette (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
#7 P. Svoboda (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
2
0.9
#8 D. Bodger (D)
0
1
1
-1
4
0
0.4
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
1
1
+2
5
1
0.6
#17 C. Patterson (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#18 W. Presley (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#19 R. Wood (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#20 R. Sweeney (C)
0
0
0
-1
4
0
-0.3
#27 B. May (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#29 R. Corkum (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
#6 K. Carney (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
#34 G. Donnelly (D)
0
0
0
-1
4
0
-0.3
#41 K. Sutton (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
Total
5
6
11
21
24
8.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#31 D. Puppa222.9090.560:00W

Team Stats

BUFOTT
24Shots on Goal22
8Power Play Chances7
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
2PPG0
23Penalty Minutes35

Full Game Log

2ND
12:24GOAL (BUF): Alexander Mogilny (15), assists: Doug Bodger, Dale Hawerchuk
17:42GOAL (BUF): Pat LaFontaine (17), assists: Richard Smehlik
3RD
06:13GOAL (BUF): Alexander Mogilny (16), assists: Petr Svoboda, Dave Andreychuk
12:16GOAL (OTT): Brad Shaw (3), assists: Mark Lamb, Jody Hull
12:30GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (1), assists: Dave Hannan
14:19GOAL (OTT): Sylvain Turgeon (8), assists: Norm MacIver, Chris Luongo
19:10GOAL (BUF): Pat LaFontaine (18), unassisted
vs OTT (Nov 27, 1992)@ MTL (Nov 30, 1992) ›