@ CGY (Oct 27, 1993)@ VAN (Oct 30, 1993) ›

October 29, 1993

Northlands Coliseum | Edmonton

BUF 63 EDM

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs EDM all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2226
EDM1203
Shots on goal BUF 24, EDM 35W G. FuhrL B. Ranford
Summary

EDM had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 6-3.

IN NET
Buffalo G. Fuhr .914
EDM B. Ranford .750
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
EDM 1 of 7
TURNING POINT
C. Simpson goal (P2 5:46), Sabres win chance rises from 47% to 69%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Simpson
3 (2G-1A)
POINTS
B. May
5
SHOTS
G. Fuhr
.914 (32/35)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFEDM
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 05:46C. Simpson (4) 47% to 69%+22
  2. P2 03:27S. Rice (3) 69% to 47%-22
  3. P2 01:51B. May (3) 47% to 68%+21
  4. P2 01:33C. MacTavish (2) 68% to 47%-21

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1993–94 regular season (84 games).

Wins (43)Losses (32, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 80% when yes, 26% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 85% when yes, 43% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 38% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 74% when yes, 18% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#22 C. Simpson (LW)
2
1
3
+2
0
2
2.2
#89 A. Mogilny (RW)
1
2
3
+3
0
4
2.2
#10 D. Hawerchuk (C)
0
2
2
+1
0
1
1.3
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
2
1.5
#27 B. May (LW)
2
0
2
+1
2
5
1.7
#15 S. Petrenko (LW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
#19 R. Wood (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
4
0.9
#20 R. Sweeney (C)
0
1
1
0
2
0
0.4
#8 D. Bodger (D)
0
1
1
+1
6
1
0.3
#41 K. Sutton (D)
0
1
1
+3
0
2
0.9
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
#14 D. Hannan (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#18 W. Presley (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#4 P. Boucher (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#5 C. Muni (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.0
#24 R. Moller (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
Total
6
11
17
14
24
12.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#31 G. Fuhr353.9141.060:00W

Team Stats

BUFEDM
24Shots on Goal35
4Power Play Chances7
25%PP%14%
86%PK%75%
1PPG1
16Penalty Minutes10

Full Game Log

1ST
06:58GOAL (EDM): Jason Arnott (4), assists: Chris Joseph, Doug Weight
11:15GOAL (BUF): Alexander Mogilny (2), assists: Ken Sutton, Craig Simpson
12:09GOAL (BUF): Brad May (2), assists: Pat LaFontaine, Alexander Mogilny
2ND
01:33GOAL (EDM): Craig MacTavish (2), assists: Geoff Smith, Kelly Buchberger
01:51GOAL (BUF): Brad May (3), assists: Sergei Petrenko, Bob Sweeney
03:27GOAL (EDM): Steven Rice (3), assists: Doug Weight, Scott Pearson
05:46GOAL (BUF): Craig Simpson (4), assists: Pat LaFontaine, Alexander Mogilny
3RD
02:18GOAL (BUF): Craig Simpson (5), assists: Doug Bodger, Dale Hawerchuk
13:53GOAL (BUF): Randy Wood (3), assists: Dale Hawerchuk
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