vs QUE (Mar 28, 1995)@ NYI (Apr 1, 1995) ›

March 30, 1995

Buffalo Memorial Auditorium | Buffalo

OTT 07 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT0000
BUF2327
Shots on goal OTT 35, BUF 32W D. HasekL C. Billington
Summary

OTT had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 7-0.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek 1.000
OTT C. Billington .781
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 5
OTT 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
D. Audette goal (P1 0:54), Sabres win chance rises from 63% to 78%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Mogilny
4 (4A)
POINTS
D. Hasek
1.000 (35/35)
SAVE %

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 63%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 00:54D. Audette (15) 63% to 78%+15
  2. P1 05:15J. Dawe (4) 78% to 89%+11
  3. P2 05:37P. LaFontaine (5) 94% to 98%+4
  4. P2 04:42High sticking double minor on Troy Mallette, 4 min 92% to 95%+3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1994–95 regular season (48 games).

Wins (22)Losses (19, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 35% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 75% when yes, 33% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 65% when yes, 46% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
GS
#89 A. Mogilny (RW)
0
4
4
+2
0
6
3.1
#28 D. Audette (RW)
3
0
3
+1
0
5
2.6
#43 J. Dawe (RW)
2
1
3
+2
2
4
2.4
#13 Y. Khmylev (LW)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
1.5
#16 P. LaFontaine (C)
1
1
2
+3
0
1
1.4
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
2
2
+2
0
0
1.3
#20 R. Sweeney (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
#5 C. Muni (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.6
#8 D. Bodger (D)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.9
#41 K. Sutton (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.6
#9 V. Gordiouk (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#12 P. Ambroziak (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
#14 D. Hannan (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
#18 W. Presley (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
#26 D. Plante (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
#6 D. Houda (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
3
0.2
#22 C. Huddy (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
Total
7
13
20
6
32
15.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek3501.0003.560:00W

Team Stats

OTTBUF
35Shots on Goal32
2Power Play Chances5
0%PP%60%
40%PK%100%
0PPG3
12Penalty Minutes6

Full Game Log

1ST
00:54GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (15), assists: Richard Smehlik, Yuri Khmylev
05:15GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (4), assists: Alexander Mogilny, Pat LaFontaine
2ND
05:37GOAL (BUF): Pat LaFontaine (5), assists: Alexander Mogilny, Richard Smehlik
07:09GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (16), assists: Doug Bodger, Alexander Mogilny
15:21GOAL (BUF): Jason Dawe (5), assists: Alexander Mogilny, Craig Muni
3RD
12:58GOAL (BUF): Yuri Khmylev (4), assists: Bob Sweeney
18:25GOAL (BUF): Donald Audette (17), assists: Jason Dawe, Ken Sutton
vs QUE (Mar 28, 1995)@ NYI (Apr 1, 1995) ›