@ NYR (Dec 21, 1999)@ NJD (Dec 27, 1999) ›

December 23, 1999

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

COL 12 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs COL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
COL0011
BUF0202
Shots on goal COL 23, BUF 23W M. BironL P. Roy
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .957
COL P. Roy .913
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
COL 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
M. Satan goal (P2 17:04), Sabres win chance rises from 52% to 79%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
G. Sanderson
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
5
SHOTS
M. Peca
21:46
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:10
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.957 (22/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCOL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 37 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFCOL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCOL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 17:04M. Satan (16) 52% to 79%+27
  2. P2 19:24G. Sanderson (5) 80% to 94%+14
  3. P3 08:23A. Deadmarsh (7) 97% to 86%-11
  4. P2 02:50Fighting on Jeff Odgers, 5 min 43% to 53%+10

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#8 G. Sanderson (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.2
12:31
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
17:33
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
14:15
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
5
1.1
20:41
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
21:12
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:14
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
16:48
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.2
19:30
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
21:46
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
2:06
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
18:43
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
17:03
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
10:32
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:49
#6 C. Sarich (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:22
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
23:10
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
12:09
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
20:53
Total
2
3
5
9
23
5.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron231.9571.559:43W

Team Stats

COLBUF
23Shots on Goal23
2Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
13Penalty Minutes9
7Hits15
9Blocked Shots8
18Giveaways21
2Takeaways6

Full Game Log

2ND
17:04GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (16), assists: Michal Grosek
19:24GOAL (BUF): Geoff Sanderson (5), assists: Rhett Warrener, Maxim Afinogenov
3RD
08:23GOAL (COL): Adam Deadmarsh (7), assists: Peter Forsberg, Brian Rolston
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