@ TOR (Jan 3, 2000)vs NJD (Jan 6, 2000) ›

January 4, 2000

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

ATL 54 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
ATL1225
BUF3104
Shots on goal ATL 30, BUF 31W S. FankhouserL M. Biron
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 4-5.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .833
ATL S. Fankhouser .871
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 7
ATL 2 of 4
TURNING POINT
J. Botterill goal (P3 18:51), Sabres win chance drops from 54% to 3%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
4 (2G-2A)
POINTS
M. Satan
6
SHOTS
M. Satan
21:24
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
22:37
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.833 (25/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 20 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 64%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 18:51J. Botterill (1) 54% to 3%-51
  2. P3 00:18D. Lambert (4) 85% to 59%-26
  3. P1 01:40M. Satan (18) 64% to 80%+16
  4. P2 17:04E. Ward (3) 96% to 85%-11

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#81 M. Satan (RW)
2
2
4
0
0
6
3.4
21:24
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
2
2
+1
2
1
1.2
20:08
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
5
1.8
17:04
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
1
2
-2
0
2
1.6
16:04
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
2
2
0
0
1
1.3
21:34
#8 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:46
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
12:01
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.3
11:15
#22 W. Primeau (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
15:14
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:14
#27 M. Peca (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
16:23
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.1
15:17
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.3
13:09
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
16:42
#6 C. Sarich (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
19:59
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
22:37
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
17:05
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-2
4
3
-0.1
19:47
Total
4
8
12
10
31
11.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron305.833-1.258:34L

Team Stats

ATLBUF
30Shots on Goal31
4Power Play Chances7
50%PP%29%
71%PK%50%
2PPG2
16Penalty Minutes10
20Hits13
12Blocked Shots9
16Giveaways16
1Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
01:40GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (18), assists: Michal Grosek, Brian Holzinger
11:47GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (19), assists: Stu Barnes, Jason Woolley
14:20GOAL (ATL): Darryl Shannon (5), assists: Denny Lambert, Ray Ferraro
19:53GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (10), assists: Jason Woolley, Miroslav Satan
2ND
08:42GOAL (BUF): Brian Holzinger (5), assists: Miroslav Satan, Michal Grosek
14:45GOAL (ATL): Ray Ferraro (9), assists: Darryl Shannon, Mike Stapleton
17:04GOAL (ATL): Ed Ward (3), assists: Andreas Karlsson, Gord Murphy
3RD
00:18GOAL (ATL): Denny Lambert (4), assists: Ray Ferraro, Mike Stapleton
18:51GOAL (ATL): Jason Botterill (1), assists: Nelson Emerson, Chris Tamer
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