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January 22, 2000

Entertainment and Sports Arena | Raleigh

BUF 14 CAR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0011
CAR0224
Shots on goal BUF 22, CAR 17W A. IrbeL M. Biron
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-4.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .765
CAR A. Irbe .955
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
CAR 3 of 5
TURNING POINT
R. Francis goal (P2 12:44), Sabres win chance drops from 49% to 24%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Peca
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Peca
5
SHOTS
M. Satan
19:25
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
22:57
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.765 (13/17)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 33 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 12:44R. Francis (13) 49% to 24%-25
  2. P2 14:15S. Kapanen (18) 21% to 8%-13
  3. P2 10:50Boarding on Erik Rasmussen, 2 min 49% to 45%-4
  4. P2 06:00Holding on Jay McKee, 2 min 49% to 45%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 1999–00 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 4 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 81% when yes, 23% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
No
Scored first
Sabres win 72% when yes, 22% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 63% when yes, 32% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.6
11:50
#15 D. Ward (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
11:51
#27 M. Peca (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
5
1.3
18:54
#8 G. Sanderson (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
11:00
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
6:43
#18 M. Grosek (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
-0.1
17:02
#19 B. Holzinger (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
13:49
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
18:31
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
16:28
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:39
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
10:02
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:25
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:13
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
16:58
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:26
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.1
21:53
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
22:57
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.0
17:08
Total
1
2
3
10
22
3.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron174.765-1.760:00L

Team Stats

BUFCAR
22Shots on Goal17
4Power Play Chances5
0%PP%60%
40%PK%100%
0PPG3
10Penalty Minutes8
18Hits27
7Blocked Shots9
5Giveaways3
9Takeaways12

Full Game Log

2ND
12:44GOAL (CAR): Ron Francis (13), assists: Andrei Kovalenko, Sami Kapanen
14:15GOAL (CAR): Sami Kapanen (18), assists: Ron Francis, Andrei Kovalenko
3RD
07:53GOAL (CAR): Gary Roberts (10), assists: Steven Halko, Robert Kron
11:13GOAL (CAR): Gary Roberts (11), assists: Jeff O'Neill, Robert Kron
18:42GOAL (BUF): Michael Peca (7), assists: Dixon Ward, Erik Rasmussen
@ PHX (Jan 20, 2000)vs TBL (Jan 25, 2000) ›