@ DET (Oct 21, 2000)vs TOR (Oct 27, 2000) ›

October 25, 2000

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

CAR 14 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR0011
BUF2114
Shots on goal CAR 31, BUF 31W D. HasekL T. Moss
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .968
CAR T. Moss .871
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
CAR 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
R. Ray goal (P1 3:18), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 71%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
E. Rasmussen
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Dumont
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
21:32
TOI (F)
R. Smehlik
22:39
TOI (D)
D. Hasek
.968 (30/31)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 3 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+13+70-7-13shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 03:18R. Ray (1) 53% to 71%+18
  2. P1 04:47C. Gratton (2) 71% to 85%+14
  3. P2 02:48E. Rasmussen (2) 89% to 96%+7
  4. P1 09:52Fighting on Rob Ray, 5 min 86% to 80%-6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2000–01 regular season (82 games).

Wins (46)Losses (31, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 79% when yes, 39% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 80% when yes, 53% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 83% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 75% when yes, 31% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
2
1.5
12:43
#52 D. Andreychuk (LW)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.8
12:19
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
2
2
0
0
1
1.4
16:32
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
12:53
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.9
15:11
#32 R. Ray (RW)
1
0
1
+2
9
2
0.8
8:11
#77 C. Gratton (C)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
13:31
#93 D. Gilmour (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
13:38
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.7
22:33
#18 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
21:32
#29 V. Tsyplakov (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
16:30
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
16:27
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
16:51
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:26
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.1
20:21
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:35
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.1
22:39
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.4
20:38
Total
4
8
12
13
31
11.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek311.9682.359:57W

Team Stats

CARBUF
31Shots on Goal31
2Power Play Chances3
0%PP%33%
67%PK%100%
0PPG1
15Penalty Minutes13
12Hits15
10Blocked Shots14
13Giveaways16
6Takeaways3

Full Game Log

1ST
03:18GOAL (BUF): Rob Ray (1), assists: Dave Andreychuk, Erik Rasmussen
04:47GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (2), assists: Doug Gilmour, James Patrick
2ND
02:48GOAL (BUF): Erik Rasmussen (2), assists: Dave Andreychuk, Dmitri Kalinin
3RD
04:41GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (3), assists: James Patrick, Vaclav Varada
09:27GOAL (CAR): Jeff O'Neill (2), assists: Rod Brind'Amour, Sandis Ozolinsh
@ DET (Oct 21, 2000)vs TOR (Oct 27, 2000) ›