vs CAR (Oct 25, 2000)@ CHI (Oct 28, 2000) ›

October 27, 2000

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 12 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR1001
BUF1012
Shots on goal TOR 20, BUF 32W D. HasekL G. Healy
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo D. Hasek .950
TOR G. Healy .938
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
TOR 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
E. Rasmussen goal (P3 14:39), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 92%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
E. Rasmussen
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
19:41
TOI (F)
R. Warrener
23:54
TOI (D)
D. Hasek
.950 (19/20)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 52%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 14:39E. Rasmussen (3) 51% to 92%+41
  2. P1 13:00C. Gratton (3) 33% to 52%+19
  3. P1 03:30G. Roberts (4) 52% to 34%-18
  4. P2 14:30Roughing on Bryan McCabe, 2 min 47% to 52%+5

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2000–01 regular season (82 games).

Wins (46)Losses (31, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 79% when yes, 39% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 80% when yes, 53% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 83% when yes, 26% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 75% when yes, 31% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
3
0.8
12:43
#18 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.7
19:41
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
18:26
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
19:09
#52 D. Andreychuk (LW)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
1.0
10:37
#77 C. Gratton (C)
1
0
1
0
2
5
1.2
15:39
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:49
#29 V. Tsyplakov (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
14:48
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
5:47
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
16:16
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:05
#93 D. Gilmour (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
16:00
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
15:22
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.3
23:54
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
16:12
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
21:58
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.3
21:36
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
20:58
Total
2
4
6
8
32
7.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#39 D. Hasek201.9501.260:00W

Team Stats

TORBUF
20Shots on Goal32
2Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
12Penalty Minutes8
20Hits11
14Blocked Shots7
16Giveaways18
3Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
03:30GOAL (TOR): Gary Roberts (4), assists: Dmitri Khristich, Danny Markov
13:00GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (3), assists: Stu Barnes, Miroslav Satan
3RD
14:39GOAL (BUF): Erik Rasmussen (3), assists: Dave Andreychuk, Vaclav Varada
vs CAR (Oct 25, 2000)@ CHI (Oct 28, 2000) ›