@ BOS (Nov 17, 2001)vs TOR (Nov 21, 2001) ›

November 19, 2001

Philips Arena | Atlanta

BUF 23 ATL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0022
ATL2013
Shots on goal BUF 32, ATL 25W M. HnilickaL M. Biron
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .880
ATL M. Hnilicka .938
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
ATL 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
T. Hrkac goal (P3 7:46), Sabres win chance drops from 54% to 18%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Dumont
5
SHOTS
M. Satan
20:33
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
26:08
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.880 (22/25)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 10 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 07:46T. Hrkac (4) 54% to 18%-36
  2. P3 07:30T. Connolly (3) 18% to 54%+36
  3. P1 09:42I. Kovalchuk (9) 57% to 37%-20
  4. P1 12:41T. Kallio (3) 36% to 19%-17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#18 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
3
1.1
16:30
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.9
7:48
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.5
5:11
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.7
12:06
#13 V. Kozlov (LW)
0
0
0
0
4
1
-0.2
14:41
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
5
0.4
15:26
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
15:45
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:05
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
17:58
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
-1
5
2
0.2
12:52
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-2
2
4
0.3
18:47
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.4
20:33
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
18:34
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.1
15:33
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
20:52
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
4
0.3
26:08
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:04
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
18:07
Total
2
2
4
15
32
5.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron253.8800.059:04L

Team Stats

BUFATL
32Shots on Goal25
3Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
15Penalty Minutes13
17Hits23
14Blocked Shots13
11Giveaways8
6Takeaways8

Full Game Log

1ST
09:42GOAL (ATL): Ilya Kovalchuk (9), assists: Dany Heatley, David Harlock
12:41GOAL (ATL): Tomi Kallio (3), assists: Tony Hrkac, Lubos Bartecko
3RD
02:55GOAL (BUF): Eric Boulton (2), assists: Rob Ray, Chris Gratton
07:30GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (3), unassisted
07:46GOAL (ATL): Tony Hrkac (4), assists: Brian Pothier
@ BOS (Nov 17, 2001)vs TOR (Nov 21, 2001) ›