vs TOR (Nov 21, 2001)@ PIT (Nov 24, 2001) ›

November 23, 2001

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

CGY 25 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CGY all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY0022
BUF0325
Shots on goal CGY 31, BUF 22W M. BironL M. Vernon
Summary

CGY had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .935
CGY M. Vernon .773
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 3 of 4
CGY 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
J. Dumont goal (P2 0:20), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 70%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Zhitnik
3 (3A)
POINTS
M. Satan
20:42
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:48
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.935 (29/31)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCGY

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 20 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFCGY

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCGY
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 00:20J. Dumont (9) 48% to 70%+22
  2. P2 06:37T. Connolly (4) 73% to 89%+16
  3. P2 11:16M. Satan (10) 91% to 97%+6
  4. P3 06:57S. Nichol (4) 99% to 96%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
3
3
0
2
0
2.0
23:48
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.5
15:29
#18 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
0
0
4
1.9
17:48
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
3
1.7
19:06
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.5
20:42
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.6
20:19
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.7
15:09
#3 J. Patrick (D)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.9
20:04
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:37
#13 V. Kozlov (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
15:54
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
8:35
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
2:13
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
2
0.3
16:54
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
11:40
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
14:25
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
20:50
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.1
14:58
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.3
21:15
Total
5
9
14
13
22
12.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron312.9351.460:00W

Team Stats

CGYBUF
31Shots on Goal22
2Power Play Chances4
0%PP%75%
25%PK%100%
0PPG3
17Penalty Minutes13
16Hits22
13Blocked Shots15
11Giveaways8
4Takeaways6

Full Game Log

2ND
00:20GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (9), assists: Alexei Zhitnik
06:37GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (4), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Miroslav Satan
11:16GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (10), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Maxim Afinogenov
3RD
00:16GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (7), assists: Tim Connolly, Vaclav Varada
06:38GOAL (CGY): Steve Begin (2), assists: Marc Savard, Steve Montador
06:57GOAL (CGY): Scott Nichol (4), assists: Steve Begin
09:21GOAL (BUF): James Patrick (3), assists: Stu Barnes, J-P Dumont
vs TOR (Nov 21, 2001)@ PIT (Nov 24, 2001) ›