vs NYR (Nov 27, 2001)@ NYI (Dec 1, 2001) ›

November 28, 2001

MCI Center | Washington

BUF 52 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2125
WSH0202
Shots on goal BUF 26, WSH 32W M. BironL O. Kolzig
Summary

WSH had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .938
WSH O. Kolzig .840
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
WSH 1 of 2
TURNING POINT
M. Afinogenov goal (P1 2:31), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 68%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
S. Barnes
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
V. Kozlov
3
SHOTS
M. Satan
19:49
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
28:04
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.938 (30/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 3 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 50%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 02:31M. Afinogenov (8) 50% to 68%+18
  2. P2 11:01M. Satan (11) 72% to 89%+17
  3. P2 06:40K. Klee (1) 89% to 74%-15
  4. P1 05:36V. Kozlov (6) 69% to 84%+15

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
0
1.3
15:55
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
1
2
+4
0
2
1.5
18:07
#13 V. Kozlov (LW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
14:58
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
13:08
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
17:13
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
11:43
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
19:49
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.8
14:08
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
24:53
#74 J. McKee (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.0
20:21
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
11:50
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
18:54
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:56
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.4
16:05
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:05
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.1
19:46
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
2
0.0
28:04
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
10:49
Total
5
7
12
4
26
10.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron322.9381.560:00W

Team Stats

BUFWSH
26Shots on Goal32
3Power Play Chances2
0%PP%50%
50%PK%100%
0PPG1
4Penalty Minutes6
12Hits19
17Blocked Shots12
9Giveaways19
13Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
02:31GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (8), assists: Jason Woolley, Martin Biron
05:36GOAL (BUF): Vyacheslav Kozlov (6), assists: Tim Connolly, Erik Rasmussen
2ND
06:40GOAL (WSH): Ken Klee (1), assists: Andrei Nikolishin
11:01GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (11), unassisted
11:50GOAL (WSH): Peter Bondra (15), assists: Adam Oates, Sylvain Cote
3RD
09:38GOAL (BUF): Jay McKee (1), assists: J-P Dumont, Stu Barnes
18:50GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (8), assists: Erik Rasmussen, Richard Smehlik
vs NYR (Nov 27, 2001)@ NYI (Dec 1, 2001) ›