@ NYI (Dec 1, 2001)vs COL (Dec 7, 2001) ›

December 4, 2001

Entertainment and Sports Arena | Raleigh

BUF 42 CAR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF2024
CAR1102
Shots on goal BUF 24, CAR 27W M. BironL A. Irbe
Summary

CAR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .926
CAR A. Irbe .833
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
CAR 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
J. Dumont goal (P3 1:05), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 81%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
E. Rasmussen
2 (2G)
POINTS
V. Varada
3
SHOTS
M. Satan
20:26
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:36
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.926 (25/27)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 22 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 01:05J. Dumont (13) 51% to 81%+30
  2. P2 12:38R. Francis (5) 77% to 51%-26
  3. P1 16:10J. Dumont (12) 51% to 72%+21
  4. P1 07:34E. Rasmussen (2) 32% to 51%+19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
2
0
2
+2
0
2
1.7
13:06
#13 V. Kozlov (LW)
0
2
2
+2
2
1
1.4
16:36
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
2
0
2
+1
0
2
1.8
15:54
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
2
2
0
0
2
1.3
16:38
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+2
0
0
0.7
13:25
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
1.0
18:06
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
20:26
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
+1
4
1
0.5
23:36
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
17:29
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:27
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
16:06
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
11:04
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
14:15
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:11
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
14:27
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.5
22:46
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.0
19:38
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
20:45
Total
4
8
12
8
24
10.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron272.9261.060:00W

Team Stats

BUFCAR
24Shots on Goal27
3Power Play Chances4
33%PP%25%
75%PK%67%
1PPG1
8Penalty Minutes6
17Hits29
20Blocked Shots13
18Giveaways16
5Takeaways15

Full Game Log

1ST
04:37GOAL (CAR): Sami Kapanen (15), assists: Ron Francis
07:34GOAL (BUF): Erik Rasmussen (2), assists: Vyacheslav Kozlov, Alexei Zhitnik
16:10GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (12), assists: Stu Barnes, Jason Woolley
2ND
12:38GOAL (CAR): Ron Francis (5), assists: Erik Cole, Marek Malik
3RD
01:05GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (13), assists: Miroslav Satan, Jason Woolley
05:16GOAL (BUF): Erik Rasmussen (3), assists: Tim Connolly, Vyacheslav Kozlov
@ NYI (Dec 1, 2001)vs COL (Dec 7, 2001) ›