@ DAL (Dec 12, 2001)@ NYR (Dec 15, 2001) ›

December 14, 2001

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

CAR 23 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CAR10102
BUF11013
Shots on goal CAR 24, BUF 39W M. NoronenL T. Barrasso
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .917
CAR T. Barrasso .923
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 3
CAR 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
S. Barnes goal (OT 0:50), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 100%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
2 (2G)
POINTS
M. Satan
6
SHOTS
M. Satan
22:21
TOI (F)
J. McKee
23:15
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.917 (22/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 23 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 0:50
+15+80-8-15shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 56%.

OT 0:50
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 00:50S. Barnes (11) 51% to 100%+49
  2. P3 13:02J. Vasicek (9) 91% to 53%-38
  3. P2 05:45M. Afinogenov (10) 55% to 78%+23
  4. P1 16:47E. Cole (6) 76% to 55%-21

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#13 V. Kozlov (LW)
0
2
2
+1
0
5
1.6
18:44
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
2
0
2
+2
2
2
1.5
15:47
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
1.1
17:08
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.2
20:11
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
6
1.0
22:21
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
22:54
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
17:22
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
17:29
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:45
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
4:09
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
20:10
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
6:15
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
15:55
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.2
23:06
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
4
0.3
15:19
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
19:16
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
13:14
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.1
23:15
Total
3
5
8
11
39
8.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen242.9170.760:50W

Team Stats

CARBUF
24Shots on Goal39
2Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
13Penalty Minutes11
21Hits33
12Blocked Shots9
11Giveaways8
2Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
06:34GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (9), assists: Vyacheslav Kozlov
16:47GOAL (CAR): Erik Cole (6), unassisted
2ND
05:45GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (10), assists: Tim Connolly, Vyacheslav Kozlov
3RD
13:02GOAL (CAR): Josef Vasicek (9), assists: Martin Gelinas, Shane Willis
OT
00:50GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (11), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Miroslav Satan
@ DAL (Dec 12, 2001)@ NYR (Dec 15, 2001) ›