vs CHI (Dec 19, 2001)@ TOR (Dec 22, 2001) ›

December 21, 2001

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 33 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR1023
BUF0213
Shots on goal TOR 33, BUF 28
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 3-3 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .909
TOR C. Joseph .893
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 8
TOR 1 of 7
TURNING POINT
V. Kozlov goal (P3 13:45), Sabres win chance rises from 12% to 49%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
V. Kozlov
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
M. Satan
23:52
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
26:08
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.909 (30/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 30 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 4:24
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

OT 4:24
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 13:45V. Kozlov (9) 12% to 49%+37
  2. P3 07:44R. Reichel (9) 49% to 15%-34
  3. P3 02:29D. Tucker (12) 80% to 49%-31
  4. P2 12:51T. Connolly (6) 51% to 75%+24

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#13 V. Kozlov (LW)
1
2
3
0
0
1
2.1
18:57
#18 T. Connolly (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.5
19:34
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
2
2
0
2
4
1.8
21:17
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
15:40
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
-1
2
1
0.7
26:08
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.4
11:26
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
10:54
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.2
18:00
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
4:54
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
4:39
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.5
21:59
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.2
18:24
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:57
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.3
23:52
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
4
2
0.0
21:12
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
19:49
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
18:02
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.1
20:05
Total
3
6
9
16
28
8.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen333.9090.865:00T

Team Stats

TORBUF
33Shots on Goal28
7Power Play Chances8
14%PP%25%
75%PK%86%
1PPG2
18Penalty Minutes16
17Hits33
14Blocked Shots13
11Giveaways21
6Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
08:21GOAL (TOR): Jyrki Lumme (1), assists: Dmitry Yushkevich
2ND
07:04GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (13), assists: Vyacheslav Kozlov, Tim Connolly
12:51GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (6), assists: Jason Woolley, Vyacheslav Kozlov
3RD
02:29GOAL (TOR): Darcy Tucker (12), assists: Alexander Mogilny, Shayne Corson
07:44GOAL (TOR): Robert Reichel (9), assists: Gary Roberts
13:45GOAL (BUF): Vyacheslav Kozlov (9), assists: Jason Woolley, Alexei Zhitnik
vs CHI (Dec 19, 2001)@ TOR (Dec 22, 2001) ›