@ TOR (Dec 22, 2001)@ CBJ (Dec 29, 2001) ›

December 26, 2001

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

MTL 13 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL0101
BUF1023
Shots on goal MTL 16, BUF 34W M. NoronenL J. Theodore
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .938
MTL J. Theodore .939
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
MTL 0 of 4
TURNING POINT
C. Brown goal (P3 14:50), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 93%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Brown
2 (2G)
POINTS
M. Satan
21:07
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:08
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.938 (15/16)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 34 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+18+90-9-18shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 54%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 14:50C. Brown (7) 51% to 93%+42
  2. P2 07:30A. Asham (4) 77% to 53%-24
  3. P1 06:58J. Dumont (15) 54% to 73%+19
  4. P2 09:39Fighting on Arron Asham, 5 min 43% to 53%+10

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#37 C. Brown (C)
2
0
2
+1
0
4
1.9
15:30
#13 V. Kozlov (LW)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.8
17:46
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
14:55
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
18:35
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
13:38
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
1.1
16:49
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
1.0
19:34
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
6:15
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
7
0
-0.1
4:37
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
17:53
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
6
0.5
15:17
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
12:50
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
21:07
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.2
19:29
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
16:55
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
19:52
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
25:08
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:57
Total
3
5
8
18
34
8.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen161.9380.859:53W

Team Stats

MTLBUF
16Shots on Goal34
4Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
20Penalty Minutes18
23Hits22
14Blocked Shots17
17Giveaways8
1Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
06:58GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (15), assists: Vyacheslav Kozlov, Tim Connolly
2ND
07:30GOAL (MTL): Arron Asham (4), assists: Richard Zednik, Yanic Perreault
3RD
14:50GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (7), assists: Taylor Pyatt, Vaclav Varada
19:59GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (8), assists: Jay McKee
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