@ CBJ (Dec 29, 2001)@ CGY (Jan 3, 2002) ›

December 31, 2001

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

CAR 54 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
CAR2125
BUF1034
Shots on goal CAR 30, BUF 27W A. IrbeL M. Biron
Summary

CAR had more shots on goal in all situations and won 5-4.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .818
Buffalo M. Biron .889
CAR A. Irbe .852
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
CAR 1 of 8
TURNING POINT
R. Francis goal (P3 14:33), Sabres win chance drops from 52% to 9%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Hamel
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
M. Satan
23:25
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:18
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.889 (16/18)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 8 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 14:33R. Francis (11) 52% to 9%-43
  2. P3 08:56D. Hamel (2) 16% to 52%+36
  3. P1 16:58M. Gelinas (8) 54% to 32%-22
  4. P1 15:34M. Afinogenov (14) 31% to 53%+22

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
No
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
1
1
2
+1
4
1
1.4
5:50
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
1
2
0
0
6
1.8
18:08
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
0
1
-2
0
3
1.0
14:01
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
1
1
+2
2
2
0.9
22:11
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
23:25
#4 R. Warrener (D)
1
0
1
0
2
1
0.7
18:20
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
1.1
23:18
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
4
0.2
13:55
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
12:35
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
15:59
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
5:49
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
0.1
16:12
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
12
0
-0.1
2:46
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
2
0.0
16:55
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.2
20:09
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
19:07
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
17:23
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.3
17:43
Total
4
5
9
28
27
8.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron182.8890.139:11L
#35 M. Noronen112.818-0.620:00

Team Stats

CARBUF
30Shots on Goal27
8Power Play Chances6
13%PP%0%
100%PK%88%
1PPG0
26Penalty Minutes30
25Hits48
9Blocked Shots8
14Giveaways12
3Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
00:46GOAL (CAR): Bates Battaglia (10), assists: David Tanabe, Sami Kapanen
15:34GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (14), assists: Stu Barnes
16:58GOAL (CAR): Martin Gelinas (8), assists: Sandis Ozolinsh
2ND
18:42GOAL (CAR): Sean Hill (2), assists: Ron Francis, Bates Battaglia
3RD
07:29GOAL (BUF): Rhett Warrener (3), unassisted
08:56GOAL (BUF): Denis Hamel (2), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Maxim Afinogenov
14:33GOAL (CAR): Ron Francis (11), assists: Sami Kapanen
19:17GOAL (CAR): Ron Francis (12), assists: Sami Kapanen, Rod Brind'Amour
19:35GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (9), assists: Miroslav Satan, Denis Hamel
@ CBJ (Dec 29, 2001)@ CGY (Jan 3, 2002) ›