vs NJD (Feb 12, 2002)vs BOS (Mar 1, 2002) ›

February 26, 2002

Philips Arena | Atlanta

BUF 12 ATL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0101
ATL0112
Shots on goal BUF 34, ATL 22W M. HnilickaL M. Biron
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .909
ATL M. Hnilicka .971
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
ATL 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
I. Kovalchuk goal (P3 16:54), Sabres win chance drops from 53% to 6%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Connolly
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
20:55
TOI (F)
R. Warrener
21:38
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.909 (20/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 59%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 16:54I. Kovalchuk (28) 53% to 6%-47
  2. P2 19:59F. Kaberle (4) 83% to 56%-27
  3. P2 08:15T. Connolly (10) 57% to 80%+23
  4. P1 16:14Tripping on Taylor Pyatt, 2 min 58% to 55%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2001–02 regular season (82 games).

Wins (35)Losses (36, 1 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 87% when yes, 22% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
too few games to split
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 76% when yes, 21% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 69% when yes, 33% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#18 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
2
0.9
18:37
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
20:55
#9 E. Rasmussen (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
11:05
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:07
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
14:47
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
14:45
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:05
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:23
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:13
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
17:20
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
6
0.5
17:49
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
14:18
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
21:38
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:36
#42 R. Smehlik (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
19:39
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
21:33
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
17:30
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.3
20:34
Total
1
1
2
6
34
3.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron222.9090.559:09L

Team Stats

BUFATL
34Shots on Goal22
2Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
6Penalty Minutes6
17Hits15
4Blocked Shots11
6Giveaways14
3Takeaways4

Full Game Log

2ND
08:15GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (10), assists: Miroslav Satan
19:59GOAL (ATL): Frantisek Kaberle (4), unassisted
3RD
16:54GOAL (ATL): Ilya Kovalchuk (28), unassisted
vs NJD (Feb 12, 2002)vs BOS (Mar 1, 2002) ›