@ CHI (Oct 13, 2002)vs PHX (Oct 19, 2002) ›

October 17, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NYR 44 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NYR2114
BUF0404
Shots on goal NYR 36, BUF 28
Summary

NYR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 4-4 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .889
NYR D. Blackburn .857
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 5
NYR 3 of 9
TURNING POINT
P. Bure goal (P3 11:09), Sabres win chance drops from 87% to 54%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
2 (2G)
POINTS
M. Satan
6
SHOTS
M. Satan
23:58
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
26:32
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.889 (32/36)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:44
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 58%.

OT 4:44
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 11:09P. Bure (3) 87% to 54%-33
  2. P2 12:27T. Connolly (3) 29% to 56%+27
  3. P2 16:01M. Satan (3) 55% to 81%+26
  4. P2 07:57B. Holik (1) 56% to 31%-25

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
0
0
1
1.5
16:48
#77 C. Gratton (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
5
1.8
18:24
#81 M. Satan (RW)
2
0
2
+1
0
6
2.0
23:58
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
2
2
0
0
4
1.7
17:47
#18 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
0.9
17:18
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
13:30
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
13:26
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:03
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
20:43
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
4:54
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
6
0
-0.4
3:41
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.1
19:54
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
22:17
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:13
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
-0.1
22:49
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:41
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
26:32
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
6
0
-0.3
21:24
Total
4
6
10
20
28
8.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron364.8890.264:53T

Team Stats

NYRBUF
36Shots on Goal28
9Power Play Chances5
33%PP%40%
60%PK%67%
3PPG2
12Penalty Minutes20
2Hits0

Full Game Log

1ST
14:39GOAL (NYR): Eric Lindros (1), assists: Petr Nedved, Brian Leetch
15:05GOAL (NYR): Eric Lindros (2), assists: Tom Poti, Pavel Bure
2ND
01:06GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (2), assists: Jochen Hecht, Jason Woolley
03:11GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (2), unassisted
07:57GOAL (NYR): Bobby Holik (1), assists: Darius Kasparaitis, Mikael Samuelsson
12:27GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (3), assists: Jason Woolley, Jochen Hecht
16:01GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (3), assists: Chris Gratton, Taylor Pyatt
3RD
11:09GOAL (NYR): Pavel Bure (3), assists: Brian Leetch, Tom Poti
@ CHI (Oct 13, 2002)vs PHX (Oct 19, 2002) ›