vs PHX (Oct 19, 2002)vs NJD (Oct 25, 2002) ›

October 22, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PHI 12 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI0101
BUF0112
Shots on goal PHI 22, BUF 31W M. BironL R. Cechmanek
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .955
PHI R. Cechmanek .935
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 6
PHI 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
M. Satan goal (P3 10:42), Sabres win chance rises from 51% to 88%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Gratton
2 (2A)
POINTS
M. Satan
10
SHOTS
M. Satan
22:39
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:41
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.955 (21/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 10:42M. Satan (4) 51% to 88%+37
  2. P2 08:13E. Weinrich (1) 74% to 52%-22
  3. P2 02:47V. Varada (2) 52% to 74%+22
  4. P3 08:00Tripping on Donald Brashear, 2 min 51% to 57%+6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.3
18:35
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.8
17:21
#25 V. Varada (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
1.0
17:12
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
10
1.5
22:39
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
13:30
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
16:38
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:37
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
6:12
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
5:09
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
19:27
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
22:12
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:45
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
16:03
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+1
4
2
-0.1
17:19
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
17:28
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
-0.1
19:59
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
23:41
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
18:32
Total
2
3
5
8
31
5.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron221.9551.460:00W

Team Stats

PHIBUF
22Shots on Goal31
4Power Play Chances6
25%PP%0%
100%PK%75%
1PPG0
12Penalty Minutes8
2Hits3

Full Game Log

2ND
02:47GOAL (BUF): Vaclav Varada (2), assists: Taylor Pyatt, Chris Gratton
08:13GOAL (PHI): Eric Weinrich (1), assists: Kim Johnsson, Mark Recchi
3RD
10:42GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (4), assists: Chris Gratton
vs PHX (Oct 19, 2002)vs NJD (Oct 25, 2002) ›