vs PHI (Oct 22, 2002)@ PIT (Oct 26, 2002) ›

October 25, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

NJD 21 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
NJD1012
BUF0101
Shots on goal NJD 26, BUF 24W M. BrodeurL M. Biron
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 1-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .923
NJD M. Brodeur .958
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
NJD 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
S. Brylin goal (P3 1:00), Sabres win chance drops from 53% to 22%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
S. Barnes
1 (1G)
POINTS
C. Brown
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
21:57
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:21
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.923 (24/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 32 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 55%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 01:00S. Brylin (3) 53% to 22%-31
  2. P2 05:56S. Barnes (2) 30% to 54%+24
  3. P1 17:07K. Daneyko (1) 54% to 33%-21
  4. P1 13:07Fighting on Turner Stevenson, 5 min 46% to 55%+9

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
18:32
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.2
15:48
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
17:34
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
14:50
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
-0.1
14:32
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
9:37
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:46
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
7
0
-0.1
7:04
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.3
7:03
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:09
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
19:02
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
21:57
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
16:22
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
19:41
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.5
19:16
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
18:04
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.2
23:21
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
19:24
Total
1
2
3
11
24
4.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron262.9230.958:58L

Team Stats

NJDBUF
26Shots on Goal24
3Power Play Chances4
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
13Penalty Minutes11
1Hits3

Full Game Log

1ST
17:07GOAL (NJD): Ken Daneyko (1), assists: Oleg Tverdovsky, Patrik Elias
2ND
05:56GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (2), assists: Curtis Brown, Vaclav Varada
3RD
01:00GOAL (NJD): Sergei Brylin (3), assists: Brian Rafalski
vs PHI (Oct 22, 2002)@ PIT (Oct 26, 2002) ›