@ CBJ (Nov 3, 2002)vs ATL (Nov 9, 2002) ›

November 7, 2002

RBC Center | Raleigh

BUF 02 CAR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs CAR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0000
CAR1012
Shots on goal BUF 26, CAR 21W K. WeekesL M. Noronen
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 0-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .905
CAR K. Weekes 1.000
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
CAR 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. O'Neill goal (P1 17:23), Sabres win chance drops from 47% to 26%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
POINTS
S. Barnes
22:49
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
22:06
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.905 (19/21)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCAR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 17 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFCAR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCAR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 17:23J. O'Neill (5) 47% to 26%-21
  2. P2 03:53Fighting on Jesse Boulerice, 5 min 18% to 25%+7
  3. P2 03:53Fighting on Eric Boulton, 5 min 25% to 18%-7
  4. P1 17:23Kneeing on Alexei Zhitnik, 5 min 26% to 20%-6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
10:54
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
14:29
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:43
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
10:09
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
16:24
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.5
17:57
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
2:26
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
18:21
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
22:49
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.1
20:56
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
2
5
0.2
18:40
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
19:29
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:11
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
17:13
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
15
0
-0.3
7:07
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
22:06
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
13:22
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
20:30
Total
0
0
0
24
26
1.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen212.9050.459:58L

Team Stats

BUFCAR
26Shots on Goal21
4Power Play Chances5
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
28Penalty Minutes13
3Hits3

Full Game Log

1ST
17:23GOAL (CAR): Jeff O'Neill (5), assists: Jan Hlavac, Ron Francis
3RD
17:46GOAL (CAR): Craig Adams (1), unassisted
@ CBJ (Nov 3, 2002)vs ATL (Nov 9, 2002) ›