vs ATL (Nov 9, 2002)vs TOR (Nov 15, 2002) ›

November 12, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

BOS 43 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs BOS all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BOS1304
BUF1023
Shots on goal BOS 20, BUF 37W S. ShieldsL M. Noronen
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 3-4.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .714
Buffalo M. Biron 1.000
BOS S. Shields .919
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 9
BOS 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
M. Mcinnis goal (P2 3:30), Sabres win chance drops from 46% to 24%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Gratton
2 (2G)
POINTS
M. Satan
21:58
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
23:34
TOI (D)
M. Biron
1.000 (6/6)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFBOS

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 10 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+17+90-9-17shot attemptsBUFBOS

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFBOS
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 03:30M. Mcinnis (3) 46% to 24%-22
  2. P1 13:53J. Dumont (3) 26% to 46%+20
  3. P1 00:21J. Thornton (7) 45% to 28%-17
  4. P2 07:30J. Thornton (8) 23% to 9%-14

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
4
1.8
16:35
#77 C. Gratton (C)
2
0
2
0
4
5
1.6
19:02
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
7
1.2
17:59
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
13:28
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
-1
0
0
0.6
10:41
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.2
21:05
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
11:03
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
13:16
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
10
0
0.0
5:27
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.5
5:27
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.1
20:58
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
21:58
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
-0.1
19:52
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.3
16:57
#5 J. Woolley (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
15:11
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
23:34
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.2
17:42
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
2
0.2
16:38
Total
3
5
8
20
37
8.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron601.0000.630:29
#35 M. Noronen144.714-2.028:38L

Team Stats

BOSBUF
20Shots on Goal37
6Power Play Chances9
0%PP%11%
89%PK%100%
0PPG1
53Penalty Minutes24
1Hits2

Full Game Log

1ST
00:21GOAL (BOS): Joe Thornton (7), assists: Hal Gill
13:53GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (3), assists: Adam Mair
2ND
03:30GOAL (BOS): Marty Mcinnis (3), assists: Jozef Stumpel, Michal Grosek
07:30GOAL (BOS): Joe Thornton (8), assists: Mike Knuble, Glen Murray
08:38GOAL (BOS): P.J. Axelsson (4), assists: Michal Grosek, Bryan Berard
3RD
17:26GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (5), assists: J-P Dumont, Tim Connolly
19:28GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (6), assists: Jochen Hecht, Taylor Pyatt
vs ATL (Nov 9, 2002)vs TOR (Nov 15, 2002) ›