@ BOS (Nov 23, 2002)vs PIT (Nov 29, 2002) ›

November 27, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TBL 11 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs TBL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TBL0011
BUF0101
Shots on goal TBL 24, BUF 23
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo tied 1-1 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .958
TBL K. Hodson .957
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 2
TBL 0 of 7
TURNING POINT
F. Modin goal (P3 4:37), Sabres win chance drops from 80% to 47%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
V. Varada
1 (1G)
POINTS
V. Varada
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
25:04
TOI (F)
J. Patrick
24:37
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.958 (23/24)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTBL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 1:47
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFTBL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 45%.

OT 1:47
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTBL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 04:37F. Modin (6) 80% to 47%-33
  2. P2 18:08V. Varada (4) 47% to 76%+29
  3. P1 17:02Fighting on Eric Boulton, 5 min 46% to 37%-9
  4. P1 17:02Fighting on Stan Neckar, 5 min 29% to 37%+8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#25 V. Varada (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.2
18:28
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.5
19:46
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
16:41
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:54
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
19
0
-0.4
5:58
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.2
14:10
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
15
0
0.0
2:48
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
3:57
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
17:15
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:05
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:23
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.2
18:22
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
25:04
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
24:37
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
23:26
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
16:47
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
18:59
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
22:11
Total
1
1
2
44
23
2.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron241.9581.665:00T

Team Stats

TBLBUF
24Shots on Goal23
7Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
25Penalty Minutes44
2Hits2

Full Game Log

2ND
18:08GOAL (BUF): Vaclav Varada (4), assists: Jay McKee, Martin Biron
3RD
04:37GOAL (TBL): Freddy Modin (6), assists: Martin St. Louis, Dan Boyle
@ BOS (Nov 23, 2002)vs PIT (Nov 29, 2002) ›