vs TBL (Nov 27, 2002)@ TOR (Nov 30, 2002) ›

November 29, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PIT 41 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PIT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PIT0224
BUF0011
Shots on goal PIT 23, BUF 44W J. HedbergL M. Biron
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 1-4.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .864
PIT J. Hedberg .977
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
PIT 2 of 5
TURNING POINT
A. Kovalev goal (P2 8:45), Sabres win chance drops from 43% to 21%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
S. Barnes
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
8
SHOTS
M. Satan
19:12
TOI (F)
J. Patrick
22:08
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.864 (19/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPIT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 29 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+22+110-11-22shot attemptsBUFPIT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPIT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 08:45A. Kovalev (14) 43% to 21%-22
  2. P2 09:12J. Hrdina (10) 21% to 9%-12
  3. P2 08:41Tripping on James Patrick, 2 min 47% to 43%-4
  4. P2 06:58Hooking obstruction on Rhett Warrener, 2 min 47% to 43%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
16:17
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.2
17:35
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
16:32
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
3
0.2
12:09
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:10
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
7
0.5
17:30
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
9:23
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.0
14:28
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
4:17
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.3
16:06
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
5
0.2
17:17
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
8
0.6
19:12
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
22:08
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
7
2
0.0
15:37
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:58
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:48
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
20:10
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
19:04
Total
1
2
3
15
44
5.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron223.864-0.358:42L

Team Stats

PITBUF
23Shots on Goal44
5Power Play Chances5
40%PP%0%
100%PK%60%
2PPG0
15Penalty Minutes15
1Hits4

Full Game Log

2ND
08:45GOAL (PIT): Alex Kovalev (14), assists: Dick Tarnstrom, Jan Hrdina
09:12GOAL (PIT): Jan Hrdina (10), assists: Alex Kovalev, Ville Nieminen
3RD
08:08GOAL (PIT): Alex Kovalev (15), assists: Randy Robitaille, Ian Moran
09:29GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (5), assists: Vaclav Varada, Jochen Hecht
19:44GOAL (PIT): Ville Nieminen (4), assists: Marc Bergevin, Jan Hrdina
vs TBL (Nov 27, 2002)@ TOR (Nov 30, 2002) ›