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December 4, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

ANA 04 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs ANA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA0000
BUF0224
Shots on goal ANA 22, BUF 36W M. BironL M. Gerber
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-0.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron 1.000
ANA M. Gerber .889
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
ANA 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. Dumont goal (P2 5:13), Sabres win chance rises from 49% to 73%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Brown
3 (3G)
POINTS
J. Dumont
5
SHOTS
M. Satan
18:41
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
22:27
TOI (D)
M. Biron
1.000 (22/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFANA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 25 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFANA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFANA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 05:13J. Dumont (5) 49% to 73%+24
  2. P2 16:52C. Brown (4) 79% to 93%+14
  3. P3 00:23C. Brown (5) 94% to 99%+5
  4. P2 02:57Interference on Taylor Pyatt, 2 min 49% to 45%-4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#37 C. Brown (C)
3
0
3
+2
0
5
2.6
16:57
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
2
2
+2
2
4
1.4
18:41
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
+2
2
4
1.0
16:11
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
5
1.1
15:15
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
17:07
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
4
1.0
15:53
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
20:43
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
19:34
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.6
20:19
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
12:04
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:11
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
10:14
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
15:31
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
7:17
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
4
1
0.1
13:38
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
22:27
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.1
19:29
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
17:39
Total
4
8
12
14
36
10.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron2201.0002.259:50W

Team Stats

ANABUF
22Shots on Goal36
5Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
14Penalty Minutes14
3Hits1

Full Game Log

2ND
05:13GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (5), assists: Stu Barnes, Chris Gratton
16:52GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (4), assists: Miroslav Satan, Rory Fitzpatrick
3RD
00:23GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (5), assists: James Patrick, Miroslav Satan
12:47GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (6), assists: Ales Kotalik, Henrik Tallinder
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