vs ANA (Dec 4, 2002)vs WSH (Dec 7, 2002) ›

December 6, 2002

Madison Square Garden | New York

BUF 41 NYR

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NYR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1214
NYR1001
Shots on goal BUF 26, NYR 33W M. BironL D. Blackburn
Summary

NYR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .970
NYR D. Blackburn .880
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
NYR 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
M. Satan goal (P2 9:30), Sabres win chance rises from 47% to 72%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
3 (3G)
POINTS
M. Satan
5
SHOTS
M. Satan
19:51
TOI (F)
J. Patrick
22:02
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.970 (32/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNYR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 27 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFNYR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNYR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 09:30M. Satan (7) 47% to 72%+25
  2. P1 19:38M. Satan (6) 27% to 49%+22
  3. P1 17:00E. Lindros (8) 46% to 26%-20
  4. P2 10:28D. Kalinin (2) 72% to 89%+17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#81 M. Satan (RW)
3
0
3
+2
0
5
2.6
19:51
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.3
13:58
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
16:50
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
14:20
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
20:35
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
0
0
4
1.0
17:27
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
1
0.8
19:09
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
16:48
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.3
12:54
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.2
12:38
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
10:22
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:47
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
0.2
3:32
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
2
0.0
19:12
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
15:56
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
1
-0.1
22:02
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
18:28
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
18:57
Total
4
6
10
10
26
9.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron331.9702.559:57W

Team Stats

BUFNYR
26Shots on Goal33
7Power Play Chances5
14%PP%20%
80%PK%86%
1PPG1
14Penalty Minutes28
1Hits4

Full Game Log

1ST
17:00GOAL (NYR): Eric Lindros (8), assists: Vladimir Malakhov, Darius Kasparaitis
19:38GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (6), assists: Brian Campbell, Chris Gratton
2ND
09:30GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (7), assists: Jay McKee
10:28GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (2), assists: Vaclav Varada, Jochen Hecht
3RD
18:21GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (8), assists: Jochen Hecht
vs ANA (Dec 4, 2002)vs WSH (Dec 7, 2002) ›