@ PIT (Dec 23, 2002)vs MIN (Dec 28, 2002) ›

December 26, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

OTT 32 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
OTT2103
BUF2002
Shots on goal OTT 23, BUF 22W M. PrusekL M. Biron
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo lost 2-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .870
OTT M. Prusek .909
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
OTT 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
T. White goal (P1 18:19), Sabres win chance drops from 63% to 41%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dumont
1 (1G)
POINTS
C. Brown
6
SHOTS
M. Satan
22:58
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:41
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.870 (20/23)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 14 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 39%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 18:19T. White (12) 63% to 41%-22
  2. P2 03:16D. Alfredsson (12) 41% to 21%-20
  3. P1 08:43H. Tallinder (2) 40% to 60%+20
  4. P1 15:26M. Arvedson (6) 80% to 62%-18

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
11:46
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
6
1.3
18:59
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.7
18:12
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
22:58
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
1
0
1
0
0
1
0.8
19:24
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
18:52
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
-0.1
12:23
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
10:41
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:42
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
13:10
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
1:19
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
14:31
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
14:48
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:35
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
25:41
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
21:09
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.2
17:29
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
16:55
Total
2
3
5
4
22
5.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron233.870-0.258:50L

Team Stats

OTTBUF
23Shots on Goal22
2Power Play Chances5
0%PP%20%
80%PK%100%
0PPG1
10Penalty Minutes4
1Hits3

Full Game Log

1ST
08:43GOAL (BUF): Henrik Tallinder (2), assists: Curtis Brown, Miroslav Satan
13:39GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (8), assists: Chris Gratton
15:26GOAL (OTT): Magnus Arvedson (6), assists: Daniel Alfredsson, Todd White
18:19GOAL (OTT): Todd White (12), assists: Daniel Alfredsson, Martin Havlat
2ND
03:16GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (12), assists: Magnus Arvedson, Karel Rachunek
@ PIT (Dec 23, 2002)vs MIN (Dec 28, 2002) ›