vs OTT (Dec 26, 2002)@ WSH (Dec 30, 2002) ›

December 28, 2002

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

MIN 43 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MIN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MIN1124
BUF1023
Shots on goal MIN 29, BUF 40W M. FernandezL M. Biron
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 3-4.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .893
MIN M. Fernandez .925
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
MIN 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
F. Kuba goal (P2 15:23), Sabres win chance drops from 44% to 20%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
M. Satan
6
SHOTS
M. Satan
23:18
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
22:12
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.893 (25/28)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMIN

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFMIN

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMIN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 15:23F. Kuba (3) 44% to 20%-24
  2. P1 03:24M. Gaborik (23) 64% to 45%-19
  3. P1 02:57M. Satan (12) 47% to 64%+17
  4. P3 11:50J. Dowd (3) 11% to 1%-10

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
2
2
+1
2
2
1.3
16:27
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
6
2.1
23:18
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
4
1.1
17:43
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
1
0.8
17:03
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
1.1
20:03
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.8
22:12
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+2
0
3
0.8
20:05
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:49
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
8:21
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
5
0.2
12:59
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
13:24
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
-2
2
2
0.2
17:17
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
3:51
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:46
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
17:25
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-3
0
0
0.0
21:11
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
21:03
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.1
18:01
Total
3
6
9
10
40
8.7
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron283.8930.358:53L

Team Stats

MINBUF
29Shots on Goal40
5Power Play Chances4
20%PP%25%
75%PK%80%
1PPG1
8Penalty Minutes10
2Hits2

Full Game Log

1ST
02:57GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (12), assists: Curtis Brown, Alexei Zhitnik
03:24GOAL (MIN): Marian Gaborik (23), assists: Jeremy Stevenson, Andrei Zyuzin
2ND
15:23GOAL (MIN): Filip Kuba (3), assists: Jim Dowd, Marian Gaborik
3RD
11:50GOAL (MIN): Jim Dowd (3), assists: Andrew Brunette, Marian Gaborik
18:29GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (6), assists: Miroslav Satan, Chris Gratton
18:46GOAL (MIN): Antti Laaksonen (8), assists: Brad Bombardir
19:04GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (7), assists: Chris Gratton, Brian Campbell
vs OTT (Dec 26, 2002)@ WSH (Dec 30, 2002) ›