vs BOS (Jan 10, 2003)@ MIN (Jan 14, 2003) ›

January 11, 2003

Centre Bell | Montreal

BUF 32 MTL

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1113
MTL1012
Shots on goal BUF 32, MTL 27W M. BironL J. Theodore
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 3-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .926
MTL J. Theodore .906
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 4
MTL 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
H. Tallinder goal (P2 1:57), Sabres win chance rises from 45% to 68%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
S. Barnes
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
M. Satan
5
SHOTS
M. Satan
21:54
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
24:49
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.926 (25/27)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 3 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+12+60-6-12shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 01:57H. Tallinder (3) 45% to 68%+23
  2. P1 19:19M. Hossa (3) 67% to 45%-22
  3. P1 00:48A. Zhitnik (1) 44% to 63%+19
  4. P3 01:03S. Barnes (9) 77% to 93%+16

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
1
2
+1
0
2
1.6
19:27
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
16:28
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
15:48
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.9
10:24
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.6
12:52
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
5
1.1
21:54
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
21:49
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
1
0
1
+1
4
3
0.8
24:49
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
3
0.1
14:09
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
12:37
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
9:24
#29 J. Kristek (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
10:48
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
15:06
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
13:47
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.2
17:37
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
22:19
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.4
12:54
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
18:24
Total
3
6
9
10
32
8.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron272.9261.059:58W

Team Stats

BUFMTL
32Shots on Goal27
4Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes12
4Hits6

Full Game Log

1ST
00:48GOAL (BUF): Alexei Zhitnik (1), assists: Ales Kotalik, Stu Barnes
19:19GOAL (MTL): Marcel Hossa (3), assists: Patrick Traverse, Craig Rivet
2ND
01:57GOAL (BUF): Henrik Tallinder (3), assists: Adam Mair, Chris Gratton
3RD
01:03GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (9), assists: Miroslav Satan, J-P Dumont
03:48GOAL (MTL): Saku Koivu (13), assists: Richard Zednik
vs BOS (Jan 10, 2003)@ MIN (Jan 14, 2003) ›