‹ @ MTL (Jan 11, 2003)@ SJS (Jan 16, 2003) ›

January 14, 2003

Xcel Energy Center | St. Paul

BUF 1 – 0 MIN

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MIN all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0011
MIN0000
Shots on goal BUF 27, MIN 22W R. MillerL D. Roloson
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 1-0.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller 1.000
MIN D. Roloson .963
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
MIN 0 of 3
TURNING POINT
D. Hamel goal (P3 7:36), Sabres win chance rises from 44% to 80%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
D. Hamel
1 (1G)
POINTS
D. Hamel
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
22:06
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
25:13
TOI (D)
R. Miller
1.000 (22/22)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMIN

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFMIN

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 38%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMIN
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 07:36D. Hamel (1) 44% to 80%+36
  2. P2 19:09Slashing on Cliff Ronning, 2 min 43% to 48%+5
  3. P2 05:13Holding on Brian Campbell, 2 min 41% to 37%-4
  4. P1 20:00Roughing on Denis Hamel, 2 min 39% to 36%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P ▾
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
1
0
1
+1
2
4
1.4
14:21
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
0.7
15:38
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.6
22:06
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:59
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
14:21
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
13:09
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
11:17
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:53
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
6:39
#29 J. Kristek (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
12:25
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:09
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
19:19
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
0
0.0
17:59
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
22:00
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
25:13
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
18:16
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.1
15:43
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
19:32
Total
1
2
3
8
27
4.2
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOI ▾Dec
#30 R. Miller220–1.000–2.260:00W

Team Stats

BUFMIN
27Shots on Goal22
5Power Play Chances3
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
8Penalty Minutes12

Full Game Log

3RD
07:36GOAL (BUF): Denis Hamel (1), assists: Miroslav Satan, Chris Gratton
‹ @ MTL (Jan 11, 2003)@ SJS (Jan 16, 2003) ›