vs TOR (Jan 24, 2003)vs NSH (Jan 27, 2003) ›

January 25, 2003

Corel Centre | Ottawa

BUF 34 OTT

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs OTT all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF02103
OTT01214
Shots on goal BUF 24, OTT 32W M. PrusekL M. Biron
Summary

OTT had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .875
OTT M. Prusek .875
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 2
OTT 3 of 4
TURNING POINT
D. Alfredsson goal (OT 2:22), Sabres win chance drops from 47% to 0%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Gratton
2 (2G)
POINTS
A. Mair
5
SHOTS
M. Satan
20:11
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
27:49
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.875 (28/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFOTT

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 2:22
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFOTT

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 32%.

OT 2:22
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFOTT
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 02:22D. Alfredsson (20) 47% to 0%-47
  2. P3 06:11A. Kotalik (13) 41% to 76%+35
  3. P3 09:35R. Bonk (13) 75% to 41%-34
  4. P3 05:46M. Fisher (11) 74% to 40%-34

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
2
2
+1
2
1
1.3
18:14
#77 C. Gratton (C)
2
0
2
0
0
2
1.7
11:25
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
15:02
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
20:11
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
1
1
-1
2
0
0.4
21:04
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
+2
2
0
0.4
15:27
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
12:52
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
13:54
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
5
0.5
13:24
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
11:49
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
20:00
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
4
0
0.0
11:07
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
10:56
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
17:18
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
18:51
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
27:49
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
22:14
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:28
Total
3
5
8
14
24
7.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron324.875-0.262:22L

Team Stats

BUFOTT
24Shots on Goal32
2Power Play Chances4
50%PP%75%
25%PK%50%
1PPG3
14Penalty Minutes10
5Hits7

Full Game Log

2ND
00:46GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (19), assists: Marian Hossa, Radek Bonk
10:32GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (12), assists: Stu Barnes, Henrik Tallinder
17:26GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (13), assists: Miroslav Satan
3RD
05:46GOAL (OTT): Mike Fisher (11), assists: Petr Schastlivy, Chris Phillips
06:11GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (13), assists: Stu Barnes, Brian Campbell
09:35GOAL (OTT): Radek Bonk (13), assists: Wade Redden
OT
02:22GOAL (OTT): Daniel Alfredsson (20), assists: Todd White, Anton Volchenkov
vs TOR (Jan 24, 2003)vs NSH (Jan 27, 2003) ›