vs PIT (Jan 21, 2003)@ OTT (Jan 25, 2003) ›

January 24, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 04 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR0000
BUF2024
Shots on goal TOR 27, BUF 22W M. BironL E. Belfour
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-0.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron 1.000
TOR E. Belfour .800
TOR M. Tellqvist 1.000
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 6
TOR 0 of 5
TURNING POINT
C. Gratton goal (P1 13:38), Sabres win chance rises from 46% to 67%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
4 (2G-2A)
POINTS
M. Satan
6
SHOTS
S. Barnes
20:54
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
24:14
TOI (D)
M. Biron
1.000 (27/27)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 14 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 46%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 13:38C. Gratton (11) 46% to 67%+21
  2. P1 18:29M. Satan (17) 71% to 85%+14
  3. P2 10:26Fighting on Rob Ray, 5 min 89% to 82%-7
  4. P2 10:26Fighting on Tie Domi, 5 min 82% to 89%+7

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#81 M. Satan (RW)
2
2
4
+3
0
6
3.2
20:43
#77 C. Gratton (C)
1
1
2
+3
0
2
1.5
13:55
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.5
24:07
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
4
2
0.4
15:34
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
1
0
1
+2
0
4
1.1
10:58
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.9
15:08
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.5
13:46
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:53
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.3
11:29
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
6:32
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
14:18
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
20:54
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:57
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:07
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
24:14
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:29
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
15:48
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+2
2
0
-0.1
18:21
Total
4
7
11
20
22
9.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron2701.0002.759:47W

Team Stats

TORBUF
27Shots on Goal22
5Power Play Chances6
0%PP%17%
83%PK%100%
0PPG1
24Penalty Minutes22
1Hits2

Full Game Log

1ST
13:38GOAL (BUF): Chris Gratton (11), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Miroslav Satan
18:29GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (17), assists: Henrik Tallinder, Ales Kotalik
3RD
01:32GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (7), assists: Miroslav Satan, Chris Gratton
08:44GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (18), assists: Jochen Hecht
vs PIT (Jan 21, 2003)@ OTT (Jan 25, 2003) ›