vs NSH (Jan 27, 2003)@ NJD (Feb 4, 2003) ›

January 30, 2003

Savvis Center | St. Louis

BUF 12 STL

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs STL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF01001
STL00112
Shots on goal BUF 17, STL 32W B. JohnsonL M. Biron
Summary

STL had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .938
STL B. Johnson .941
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 1
STL 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
K. Tkachuk goal (OT 3:26), Sabres win chance drops from 49% to 0%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dumont
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Dumont
3
SHOTS
M. Satan
20:22
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
27:40
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.938 (30/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFSTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 3:26
+16+80-8-16shot attemptsBUFSTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 36%.

OT 3:26
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFSTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 03:26K. Tkachuk (20) 49% to 0%-49
  2. P3 07:16D. Drake (12) 79% to 43%-36
  3. P2 13:53J. Dumont (11) 40% to 68%+28
  4. P3 18:50Hooking on Taylor Pyatt, 2 min 46% to 38%-8

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
0
2
3
0.8
14:38
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
18:16
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:12
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
18:57
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
4
0
-0.3
12:02
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
14:03
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:14
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
17:26
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
9:10
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
12:33
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
16:34
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
20:22
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
17:56
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
20:11
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
27:40
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
26:53
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-2
0
0
0.0
11:15
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
23:06
Total
1
1
2
10
17
2.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron322.9381.563:26L

Team Stats

BUFSTL
17Shots on Goal32
1Power Play Chances2
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
10Penalty Minutes8
3Hits4

Full Game Log

2ND
13:53GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (11), assists: Stu Barnes
3RD
07:16GOAL (STL): Dallas Drake (12), assists: Doug Weight, Cory Stillman
OT
03:26GOAL (STL): Keith Tkachuk (20), assists: Pavol Demitra, Christian Laflamme
vs NSH (Jan 27, 2003)@ NJD (Feb 4, 2003) ›