@ STL (Jan 30, 2003)vs VAN (Feb 7, 2003) ›

February 4, 2003

Continental Airlines Arena | East Rutherford

BUF 14 NJD

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs NJD all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0101
NJD1304
Shots on goal BUF 20, NJD 30W C. SchwabL R. Miller
Summary

NJD had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .867
NJD C. Schwab .950
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 5
NJD 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
P. Elias goal (P1 1:55), Sabres win chance drops from 35% to 19%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Brown
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
20:56
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
24:15
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.867 (26/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFNJD

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 2 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+11+60-6-11shot attemptsBUFNJD

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 35%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFNJD
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:55P. Elias (15) 35% to 19%-16
  2. P2 06:04J. Nieuwendyk (9) 18% to 6%-12
  3. P2 14:01T. Albelin (1) 5% to 1%-4
  4. P1 17:41Hooking on Scott Niedermayer, 2 min 18% to 20%+2

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
-2
2
3
0.8
10:28
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
0
1
+1
2
2
0.8
15:40
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
1
0.6
24:15
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
1
-0.1
14:01
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.0
12:13
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
18:37
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-2
0
1
0.2
10:59
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:51
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
18:11
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:22
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-4
0
0
0.0
11:41
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
18:31
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.5
20:56
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
16:37
#10 H. Tallinder (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
23:46
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
0
0.0
12:50
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:22
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
21:43
Total
1
2
3
10
20
3.4
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller304.867-0.460:00L

Team Stats

BUFNJD
20Shots on Goal30
5Power Play Chances6
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
12Penalty Minutes10
2Hits0

Full Game Log

1ST
01:55GOAL (NJD): Patrik Elias (15), assists: Scott Gomez, Jiri Bicek
2ND
06:04GOAL (NJD): Joe Nieuwendyk (9), assists: Jamie Langenbrunner
14:01GOAL (NJD): Tommy Albelin (1), assists: Sergei Brylin, Patrik Elias
15:18GOAL (NJD): Joe Nieuwendyk (10), assists: Jeff Friesen, Jamie Langenbrunner
19:53GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (9), assists: Adam Mair, Alexei Zhitnik
@ STL (Jan 30, 2003)vs VAN (Feb 7, 2003) ›