@ ATL (Feb 17, 2003)vs LAK (Feb 21, 2003) ›

February 19, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

MTL 12 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
MTL10001
BUF01012
Shots on goal MTL 26, BUF 30W R. MillerL M. Garon
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 2-1 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo R. Miller .962
MTL M. Garon .933
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 0 of 1
MTL 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
M. Satan goal (OT 3:49), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 100%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
V. Varada
1 (1G)
POINTS
T. Connolly
20:26
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
28:49
TOI (D)
R. Miller
.962 (25/26)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 3:49
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 51%.

OT 3:49
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 03:49M. Satan (20) 50% to 100%+50
  2. P2 16:26V. Varada (6) 23% to 50%+27
  3. P1 16:37J. Bulis (13) 50% to 29%-21
  4. P2 01:48Tripping on Stephane Quintal, 2 min 28% to 32%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
15:00
#25 V. Varada (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.1
16:40
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
4
1.1
17:23
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.9
27:02
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
21:13
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
18:22
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
11:35
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:26
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
15:35
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
4:46
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
16:01
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.1
19:24
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:08
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
5
0.2
17:13
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
21:38
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
15:14
#21 R. Hecl (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
12:47
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.3
28:49
Total
2
3
5
4
30
5.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#30 R. Miller261.9621.863:49W

Team Stats

MTLBUF
26Shots on Goal30
2Power Play Chances1
0%PP%0%
100%PK%100%
0PPG0
2Penalty Minutes4
15Hits19
7Blocked Shots6
10Giveaways14
7Takeaways10

Full Game Log

1ST
16:37GOAL (MTL): Jan Bulis (13), assists: Saku Koivu, Stephane Quintal
2ND
16:26GOAL (BUF): Vaclav Varada (6), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Taylor Pyatt
OT
03:49GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (20), assists: Brian Campbell
@ ATL (Feb 17, 2003)vs LAK (Feb 21, 2003) ›