vs NYR (Feb 15, 2003)vs MTL (Feb 19, 2003) ›

February 17, 2003

Philips Arena | Atlanta

BUF 34 ATL

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs ATL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF11103
ATL01214
Shots on goal BUF 27, ATL 30W F. CassiviL M. Biron
Summary

ATL had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-3 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .867
ATL F. Cassivi .889
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
ATL 3 of 8
TURNING POINT
P. Stefan goal (OT 3:54), Sabres win chance drops from 50% to 0%
WIN DNA
3 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Brown
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
M. Satan
20:42
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
31:22
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.867 (26/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFATL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 22 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 3:54
+7+40-4-7shot attemptsBUFATL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 49%.

OT 3:54
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFATL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 03:54P. Stefan (12) 50% to 0%-50
  2. P3 15:41C. Brown (11) 6% to 47%+41
  3. P3 12:03V. Kozlov (16) 76% to 36%-40
  4. P3 14:11D. Heatley (25) 42% to 6%-36

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

3 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
1
2
+1
2
3
1.6
16:18
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.8
12:43
#18 T. Connolly (C)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
16:38
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
18:50
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
15:58
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
-1
2
0
0.4
20:42
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.7
29:53
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.4
13:46
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
17
1
-0.4
10:45
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.2
13:20
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
+1
4
1
0.1
7:37
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.3
12:39
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
7
2
0.0
13:53
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.3
22:47
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
15:28
#21 R. Hecl (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
9:16
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
3
0.2
31:22
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
16:23
Total
3
5
8
34
27
7.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron304.867-0.463:50L

Team Stats

BUFATL
27Shots on Goal30
3Power Play Chances8
33%PP%38%
63%PK%67%
1PPG3
34Penalty Minutes15
13Hits13
12Blocked Shots16
5Giveaways11
6Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
09:23GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (12), assists: Curtis Brown
2ND
02:30GOAL (ATL): Dan Snyder (4), assists: Benjamin Simon, Chris Tamer
05:14GOAL (BUF): Tim Connolly (9), assists: Stu Barnes, Miroslav Satan
3RD
12:03GOAL (ATL): Vyacheslav Kozlov (16), assists: Tony Hrkac, Dany Heatley
14:11GOAL (ATL): Dany Heatley (25), assists: Ilya Kovalchuk
15:41GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (11), assists: Jochen Hecht, Dmitri Kalinin
OT
03:54GOAL (ATL): Patrik Stefan (12), assists: Marc Savard, Kirill Safronov
vs NYR (Feb 15, 2003)vs MTL (Feb 19, 2003) ›