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February 24, 2003

Office Depot Center | Sunrise

BUF 22 FLA

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1012
FLA1012
Shots on goal BUF 25, FLA 31
Summary

FLA had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo tied 2-2 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .935
FLA R. Luongo .920
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 2 of 6
FLA 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
J. Bednar goal (P3 17:54), Sabres win chance drops from 96% to 49%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Afinogenov
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
19:36
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
28:50
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.935 (29/31)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:54
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 47%.

OT 4:54
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P3 17:54J. Bednar (4) 96% to 49%-47
  2. P3 11:46M. Satan (22) 49% to 88%+39
  3. P1 13:56O. Jokinen (32) 68% to 47%-21
  4. P1 03:37M. Afinogenov (2) 47% to 66%+19

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
16:24
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.9
17:16
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
0
2
3
0.8
19:19
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
2
1.0
18:40
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
0
1
-2
0
2
0.9
19:36
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
1
1
-2
0
3
0.8
28:50
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
12:09
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
14:57
#25 V. Varada (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
15:58
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
7:26
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
2
0.2
17:18
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
14:59
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.5
16:48
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.3
21:33
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
16:13
#21 R. Hecl (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
9:09
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-2
2
3
0.1
27:59
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
20:21
Total
2
4
6
4
25
6.5
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron312.9351.465:00T

Team Stats

BUFFLA
25Shots on Goal31
6Power Play Chances2
33%PP%0%
100%PK%67%
2PPG0
4Penalty Minutes12
19Hits19
18Blocked Shots11
5Giveaways5
2Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
03:37GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (2), assists: Curtis Brown, J-P Dumont
13:56GOAL (FLA): Olli Jokinen (32), assists: Mathieu Biron, Viktor Kozlov
3RD
11:46GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (22), assists: Tim Connolly, Dmitri Kalinin
17:54GOAL (FLA): Jaroslav Bednar (4), assists: Stephane Matteau, Jeff Toms
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