@ FLA (Feb 24, 2003)vs DAL (Feb 28, 2003) ›

February 26, 2003

MCI Center | Washington

BUF 23 WSH

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs WSH all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF0022
WSH2103
Shots on goal BUF 37, WSH 31W O. KolzigL M. Biron
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-3.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .903
WSH O. Kolzig .946
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
WSH 1 of 5
TURNING POINT
J. Jagr goal (P1 4:58), Sabres win chance drops from 40% to 23%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Brown
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
6
SHOTS
M. Satan
23:47
TOI (F)
D. Kalinin
24:17
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.903 (28/31)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFWSH

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 5 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+8+40-4-8shot attemptsBUFWSH

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 40%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFWSH
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 04:58J. Jagr (34) 40% to 23%-17
  2. P1 14:23B. Witt (1) 22% to 10%-12
  3. P3 14:50D. Kalinin (6) 1% to 7%+6
  4. P1 13:23Fighting on Alex Henry, 5 min 16% to 22%+6

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
5
0.9
19:50
#37 C. Brown (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
4
1.3
16:46
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
-1
2
3
0.8
12:35
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
6
1.2
23:47
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
1
0
1
-2
0
3
1.0
24:17
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-2
2
1
-0.1
15:20
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
2
4
0.2
15:42
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
7
0
-0.1
6:14
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
0
0
+1
0
3
0.3
14:27
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
5:06
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
0
2
2
0.3
19:29
#55 D. Hamel (LW)
0
0
0
0
5
0
0.0
7:04
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
18:19
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
22:19
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.2
13:10
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
17:10
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.1
23:32
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
17:52
Total
2
3
5
25
37
6.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron313.9030.658:51L

Team Stats

BUFWSH
37Shots on Goal31
3Power Play Chances5
33%PP%20%
80%PK%67%
1PPG1
25Penalty Minutes21
6Hits7
8Blocked Shots21
17Giveaways34
9Takeaways7

Full Game Log

1ST
04:58GOAL (WSH): Jaromir Jagr (34), assists: Robert Lang, Kip Miller
14:23GOAL (WSH): Brendan Witt (1), assists: Michael Nylander, Dainius Zubrus
2ND
14:59GOAL (WSH): Peter Bondra (24), assists: Kip Miller, Robert Lang
3RD
02:57GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (12), assists: Maxim Afinogenov
14:50GOAL (BUF): Dmitri Kalinin (6), assists: Miroslav Satan, Ales Kotalik
@ FLA (Feb 24, 2003)vs DAL (Feb 28, 2003) ›