vs WSH (Mar 4, 2003)@ FLA (Mar 8, 2003) ›

March 6, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

TOR 24 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR0112
BUF0224
Shots on goal TOR 33, BUF 26W M. BironL E. Belfour
Summary

TOR had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .939
TOR E. Belfour .880
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 3
TOR 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
T. Pyatt goal (P2 14:44), Sabres win chance rises from 45% to 73%
WIN DNA
2 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
M. Satan
3 (1G-2A)
POINTS
M. Satan
21:14
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
26:47
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.939 (31/33)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 32 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 43%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 14:44T. Pyatt (8) 45% to 73%+28
  2. P2 04:05M. Satan (24) 23% to 45%+22
  3. P2 01:46S. Corson (6) 44% to 23%-21
  4. P3 04:36C. Brown (14) 82% to 95%+13

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

2 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#81 M. Satan (RW)
1
2
3
+2
0
4
2.5
21:14
#37 C. Brown (C)
2
0
2
+2
0
4
1.9
19:06
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
2
2
+2
0
1
1.5
23:03
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
1
1
0
0
0
0.6
18:46
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
1
0
1
+2
2
1
0.7
17:49
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
1
1
+1
5
5
0.9
15:14
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
1
1
+1
2
0
0.6
17:54
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.2
16:13
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
14:28
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
+1
5
0
0.0
9:10
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
7
0
0.1
5:09
#32 R. Ray (RW)
0
0
0
0
7
0
-0.1
4:27
#41 S. Barnes (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.2
17:24
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
2
2
0.0
13:22
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:54
#21 R. Hecl (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.3
11:19
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
1
0.1
26:47
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
20:26
Total
4
7
11
30
26
9.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron332.9391.660:00W

Team Stats

TORBUF
33Shots on Goal26
4Power Play Chances3
25%PP%33%
67%PK%75%
1PPG1
28Penalty Minutes30
9Hits11
13Blocked Shots7
18Giveaways15
0Takeaways4

Full Game Log

2ND
01:46GOAL (TOR): Shayne Corson (6), assists: Wade Belak
04:05GOAL (BUF): Miroslav Satan (24), assists: Rory Fitzpatrick, Dmitri Kalinin
14:44GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (8), assists: Dmitri Kalinin, Chris Gratton
3RD
04:36GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (14), assists: Miroslav Satan, Tim Connolly
18:37GOAL (TOR): Robert Svehla (6), assists: Mats Sundin, Alexander Mogilny
19:50GOAL (BUF): Curtis Brown (15), assists: Miroslav Satan
vs WSH (Mar 4, 2003)@ FLA (Mar 8, 2003) ›