vs TOR (Mar 6, 2003)@ TBL (Mar 9, 2003) ›

March 8, 2003

Office Depot Center | Sunrise

BUF 40 FLA

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
BUF1214
FLA0000
Shots on goal BUF 25, FLA 29W M. NoronenL J. Hurme
Summary

FLA had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 4-0.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen 1.000
FLA J. Hurme .840
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
FLA 0 of 6
TURNING POINT
B. Campbell goal (P1 16:33), Sabres win chance rises from 48% to 70%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
A. Kotalik
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
5
SHOTS
S. Barnes
20:12
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
28:34
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
1.000 (29/29)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 17 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+10+50-5-10shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 48%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 16:33B. Campbell (2) 48% to 70%+22
  2. P2 09:56S. Barnes (11) 74% to 90%+16
  3. P2 10:33J. Hecht (6) 91% to 97%+6
  4. P1 04:29Boarding on Olli Jokinen, 2 min 48% to 51%+3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
11:57
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.6
14:06
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.6
9:05
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
+1
2
2
0.7
17:16
#41 S. Barnes (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
20:12
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
11:46
#71 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
5
1.1
19:11
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.5
18:40
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
1
1
+1
4
1
0.5
18:53
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
1
1
0
0
1
0.8
16:52
#51 B. Campbell (D)
1
0
1
+2
0
1
0.8
18:31
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
13:46
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.0
10:49
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
10:15
#77 C. Gratton (C)
0
0
0
0
2
3
0.1
13:39
#21 R. Hecl (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
7:56
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
2
0.3
28:34
#45 D. Kalinin (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
26:24
Total
4
7
11
12
25
8.9
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen2901.0002.960:00W

Team Stats

BUFFLA
25Shots on Goal29
5Power Play Chances6
20%PP%0%
100%PK%80%
1PPG0
12Penalty Minutes10
10Hits22
9Blocked Shots9
7Giveaways12
4Takeaways4

Full Game Log

1ST
16:33GOAL (BUF): Brian Campbell (2), assists: Maxim Afinogenov, Eric Boulton
2ND
09:56GOAL (BUF): Stu Barnes (11), assists: Rhett Warrener
10:33GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (6), assists: Rory Fitzpatrick, Taylor Pyatt
3RD
03:47GOAL (BUF): Ales Kotalik (17), assists: Curtis Brown, Miroslav Satan
vs TOR (Mar 6, 2003)@ TBL (Mar 9, 2003) ›