@ ATL (Mar 15, 2003)@ NYR (Mar 19, 2003) ›

March 18, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

PHI 25 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs PHI all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
PHI1102
BUF2215
Shots on goal PHI 32, BUF 23W M. BironL R. Esche
Summary

PHI had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 5-2.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .938
PHI R. Esche .783
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
PHI 1 of 2
TURNING POINT
M. Afinogenov goal (P2 7:02), Sabres win chance rises from 45% to 70%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dumont
2 (1G-1A)
POINTS
J. Dumont
5
SHOTS
M. Satan
22:10
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
31:07
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.938 (30/32)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFPHI

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 5 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+9+50-5-9shot attemptsBUFPHI

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 44%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFPHI
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 07:02M. Afinogenov (3) 45% to 70%+25
  2. P2 06:00T. Amonte (16) 69% to 45%-24
  3. P1 03:30D. Brière (19) 45% to 63%+18
  4. P2 18:09J. Hecht (7) 75% to 92%+17

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
1
2
+1
0
5
2.0
16:24
#71 J. Hecht (C)
1
1
2
+2
0
3
1.8
15:21
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
2
2
0
0
0
1.3
9:05
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
1
1
+2
4
0
0.4
10:48
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
6:48
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
1
1
+1
5
1
0.8
8:53
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
1
0.8
11:03
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
+2
4
1
0.6
15:08
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.9
17:42
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
+1
5
1
0.8
14:03
#3 J. Patrick (D)
1
0
1
+1
0
1
0.9
21:32
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
4
0.3
18:22
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
0
0.0
18:23
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
1
0.1
22:10
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
0
0.1
22:32
#33 D. Janik (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
11:25
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.1
31:07
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
23:27
Total
5
9
14
20
23
11.8
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron322.9381.560:00W

Team Stats

PHIBUF
32Shots on Goal23
2Power Play Chances4
50%PP%25%
75%PK%50%
1PPG1
24Penalty Minutes20
14Hits23
8Blocked Shots6
16Giveaways7
4Takeaways9

Full Game Log

1ST
03:30GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (19), assists: Rhett Warrener, J-P Dumont
06:14GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (13), assists: Jochen Hecht, Rhett Warrener
10:16GOAL (PHI): John LeClair (14), assists: Eric Desjardins, Mark Recchi
2ND
06:00GOAL (PHI): Tony Amonte (16), assists: Eric Weinrich, Jeremy Roenick
07:02GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (3), assists: Taylor Pyatt
18:09GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (7), assists: Adam Mair, Curtis Brown
3RD
00:39GOAL (BUF): James Patrick (3), assists: Jason Botterill, Eric Boulton
@ ATL (Mar 15, 2003)@ NYR (Mar 19, 2003) ›