@ NYR (Mar 19, 2003)vs COL (Mar 24, 2003) ›

March 22, 2003

Air Canada Centre | Toronto

BUF 23 TOR

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs TOR all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
BUF02002
TOR10113
Shots on goal BUF 27, TOR 19W E. BelfourL M. Noronen
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and lost 2-3 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .842
TOR E. Belfour .926
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 5
TOR 1 of 4
TURNING POINT
B. McCabe goal (OT 0:36), Sabres win chance drops from 47% to 0%
WIN DNA
0 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Dumont
1 (1G)
POINTS
M. Satan
23:35
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
30:47
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.842 (16/19)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFTOR

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 30 minutes, too few for a score-tied view.

OT 0:36
+14+70-7-14shot attemptsBUFTOR

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 38%.

OT 0:36
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFTOR
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 00:36B. McCabe (5) 47% to 0%-47
  2. P3 07:30R. Svehla (7) 80% to 44%-36
  3. P2 18:01J. Dumont (14) 42% to 72%+30
  4. P2 05:41J. Patrick (4) 20% to 40%+20

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

0 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
1
1
-1
0
2
0.7
16:49
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
17:42
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
+1
0
2
1.1
19:57
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
-1
2
2
0.7
23:35
#3 J. Patrick (D)
1
0
1
-1
2
1
0.8
25:17
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
9:39
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.4
17:08
#23 S. McMorrow (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
1:27
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
8:01
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
11:55
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
15:14
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
0
0
-1
2
4
0.3
18:57
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.4
15:02
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
21:17
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
14:53
#33 D. Janik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
5:48
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.3
30:47
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
22:19
Total
2
3
5
8
27
6.3
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen193.842-0.660:35L

Team Stats

BUFTOR
27Shots on Goal19
5Power Play Chances4
20%PP%25%
75%PK%80%
1PPG1
8Penalty Minutes10
9Hits9
13Blocked Shots8
19Giveaways13
3Takeaways2

Full Game Log

1ST
04:17GOAL (TOR): Mats Sundin (33), assists: Robert Svehla, Ed Belfour
2ND
05:41GOAL (BUF): James Patrick (4), assists: Miroslav Satan, Ales Kotalik
18:01GOAL (BUF): J-P Dumont (14), assists: Jochen Hecht
3RD
07:30GOAL (TOR): Robert Svehla (7), assists: Mikael Renberg, Mats Sundin
OT
00:36GOAL (TOR): Bryan McCabe (5), assists: Mats Sundin, Glen Wesley
@ NYR (Mar 19, 2003)vs COL (Mar 24, 2003) ›