@ TOR (Mar 22, 2003)vs FLA (Mar 26, 2003) ›

March 24, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

COL 34 BUF

FINAL / OT

Head-to-Head vs COL all-time
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL11103
BUF11114
Shots on goal COL 36, BUF 35W M. BironL D. Aebischer
Summary

Shots on goal were even in all situations; Buffalo won 4-3 in overtime.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .917
COL D. Aebischer .886
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 7
COL 1 of 7
TURNING POINT
J. Hecht goal (OT 4:15), Sabres win chance rises from 50% to 100%
WIN DNA
4 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
J. Hecht
2 (2G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
7
SHOTS
M. Satan
27:54
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
32:01
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.917 (33/36)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFCOL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

OT 4:15
+6+30-3-6shot attemptsBUFCOL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 41%.

OT 4:15
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFCOL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. OT 04:15J. Hecht (9) 50% to 100%+50
  2. P3 12:41D. Brière (20) 11% to 46%+35
  3. P3 02:59M. Hejduk (43) 45% to 16%-29
  4. P2 15:03P. Forsberg (27) 72% to 44%-28

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

4 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
Yes
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
Yes
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#71 J. Hecht (C)
2
0
2
+2
0
7
2.2
19:11
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
2
2
0
0
0
1.5
24:35
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
2
2
+1
2
3
1.2
23:12
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
+1
4
0
0.4
15:26
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
0
1
1
+1
2
1
0.8
6:25
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
1
1
-1
2
1
0.7
19:03
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
6
1.5
20:23
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
1
0
1
0
0
3
1.0
11:41
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
3
0.9
27:54
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
-2
0
4
0.4
20:10
#16 C. Taylor (C)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:24
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
+1
0
2
0.2
17:46
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
-1
2
1
0.1
6:13
#60 P. Gaustad (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
5:48
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
+1
0
0
0.1
21:14
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
19:38
#33 D. Janik (D)
0
0
0
0
2
0
-0.1
4:42
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
0
0
3
0.3
32:01
Total
4
8
12
14
35
11.1
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron363.9171.164:15W

Team Stats

COLBUF
36Shots on Goal35
7Power Play Chances7
14%PP%14%
86%PK%86%
1PPG1
14Penalty Minutes14
29Hits10
5Blocked Shots10
11Giveaways15
4Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
17:18GOAL (BUF): Maxim Afinogenov (4), assists: Jason Botterill, Brian Campbell
19:05GOAL (COL): Peter Forsberg (26), assists: Derek Morris, Rob Blake
2ND
00:39GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (8), assists: James Patrick, J-P Dumont
15:03GOAL (COL): Peter Forsberg (27), assists: Bryan Marchment
3RD
02:59GOAL (COL): Milan Hejduk (43), assists: Alex Tanguay, Adam Foote
12:41GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (20), assists: James Patrick, Curtis Brown
OT
04:15GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (9), assists: Miroslav Satan, Brian Campbell
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