vs FLA (Mar 26, 2003)@ CAR (Mar 29, 2003) ›

March 28, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

MTL 14 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs MTL all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
MTL0011
BUF1304
Shots on goal MTL 27, BUF 31W M. BironL M. Garon
Summary

Buffalo had more shots on goal in all situations and won 4-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Biron .963
MTL M. Garon .871
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
MTL 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
T. Pyatt goal (P1 1:00), Sabres win chance rises from 53% to 71%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
T. Pyatt
3 (3G)
POINTS
T. Pyatt
4
SHOTS
M. Satan
20:37
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
23:44
TOI (D)
M. Biron
.963 (26/27)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFMTL

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

Tied for only 1 minute, too few for a score-tied view.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFMTL

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 53%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFMTL
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P1 01:00T. Pyatt (11) 53% to 71%+18
  2. P2 00:30J. Hecht (10) 74% to 89%+15
  3. P2 10:43T. Pyatt (12) 92% to 98%+6
  4. P1 10:17Cross checking on Adam Mair, 2 min 72% to 69%-3

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
Yes
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
No
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#24 T. Pyatt (LW)
3
0
3
+1
0
4
2.6
16:57
#48 D. Brière (C)
0
2
2
+2
0
2
1.5
17:24
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
2
2
+1
0
3
1.6
20:37
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
2
2
+2
0
2
1.4
23:44
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
15:53
#71 J. Hecht (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
3
1.0
17:05
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
-1
0
3
0.2
15:48
#19 N. Milley (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
10:27
#22 A. Mair (C)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
12:30
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
12:19
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.2
10:30
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
+1
2
1
0.0
13:45
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
14:25
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
+2
0
1
0.2
20:19
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.1
20:49
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
18:04
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
0
0
4
0.4
21:11
#74 J. McKee (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.2
14:30
Total
4
7
11
4
31
10.6
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#43 M. Biron271.9631.959:43W

Team Stats

MTLBUF
27Shots on Goal31
2Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
8Penalty Minutes4
11Hits18
14Blocked Shots11
12Giveaways9
2Takeaways6

Full Game Log

1ST
01:00GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (11), assists: Daniel Brière, Alexei Zhitnik
2ND
00:30GOAL (BUF): Jochen Hecht (10), assists: J-P Dumont, Daniel Brière
10:43GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (12), assists: Alexei Zhitnik, Miroslav Satan
12:16GOAL (BUF): Taylor Pyatt (13), assists: Miroslav Satan
3RD
08:07GOAL (MTL): Yanic Perreault (22), assists: Andreas Dackell, Patrice Brisebois
vs FLA (Mar 26, 2003)@ CAR (Mar 29, 2003) ›