vs COL (Mar 24, 2003)vs MTL (Mar 28, 2003) ›

March 26, 2003

HSBC Arena | Buffalo

FLA 12 BUF

FINAL

Head-to-Head vs FLA all-time
1ST2ND3RDT
FLA1001
BUF1102
Shots on goal FLA 30, BUF 26W M. NoronenL R. Luongo
Summary

FLA had more shots on goal in all situations, but Buffalo won 2-1.

IN NET
Buffalo M. Noronen .967
FLA R. Luongo .923
FLA J. Hurme –
POWER PLAY
Buffalo 1 of 4
FLA 0 of 2
TURNING POINT
D. Brière goal (P2 19:21), Sabres win chance rises from 59% to 82%
WIN DNA
1 of 4 winning traits
Game Leaders
C. Taylor
1 (1G)
POINTS
J. Hecht
4
SHOTS
D. Brière
18:10
TOI (F)
A. Zhitnik
29:24
TOI (D)
M. Noronen
.967 (29/30)
SAVE %

Stats by Period

All situations, by period.

BUFFLA

Shots on goal are counted from the play-by-play, which on a few games sits one shot off the box score line in the header and Team Stats.

Game Flow

Running shot attempts for and against, all situations. Shading shows who led.

P3 20:00
+5+30-3-5shot attemptsBUFFLA

Dots are goals, navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Score-adjusted weights each attempt by how often teams take one in that score state, home or away, at that point of the game, league-wide (2016-17 to 2025-26): the share as if the game were tied at a neutral site. Score-tied counts only attempts while tied, and needs 15 tied minutes and 30 attempts.

Win Probability

Buffalo's chance of winning, from the score, the time left and the strength state.

Opened at 57%.

P3 20:00
100%75%50%25%0%Buffalo win chanceBUFFLA
BIGGEST SWINGS
  1. P2 19:21D. Brière (21) 59% to 82%+23
  2. P1 12:05C. Taylor (1) 36% to 57%+21
  3. P1 05:31K. Huselius (20) 57% to 38%-19
  4. P2 18:58Hooking on Olli Jokinen, 2 min 55% to 59%+4

Dots are goals, diamonds penalties, squares a goalie pull; navy for Buffalo.

How this is measured

Each team is expected to score at the league rate for the season, tilted for home ice and scaled for the strength state. The chance Buffalo ends regulation ahead follows from the score and the time left, with a tie going to 3-on-3 overtime and a shootout. The opening value comes from both teams' goals for and against to that date, regressed toward the league average early in a season, plus home ice. This feed carries no on-ice strength codes, so power plays are read from the penalty calls alone.

Win DNA

1 of 4 winning traits showed up tonight. Win rates are over the full 2002–03 regular season (82 games).

Wins (27)Losses (45, 8 in overtime)This game
3+ scorersD combined 3+ ptsScored firstDepth goal50%100%
No
3+ different scorers
Sabres win 72% when yes, 19% when no
No
Defensemen combined for 3+ points
Sabres win 87% when yes, 25% when no
No
Scored first
Sabres win 51% when yes, 24% when no
Yes
Depth forward scored
Sabres win 45% when yes, 29% when no

Box Score

Player
G
A
P
+/-
PIM
SOG
Game Score
TOI
GS
#16 C. Taylor (C)
1
0
1
+1
0
2
0.9
12:28
#19 N. Milley (RW)
0
1
1
+1
0
3
0.9
11:39
#26 E. Boulton (LW)
0
1
1
+1
0
0
0.7
10:36
#48 D. Brière (C)
1
0
1
-1
0
1
1.0
18:10
#71 J. Hecht (C)
0
1
1
-1
0
4
0.9
17:36
#81 M. Satan (RW)
0
1
1
0
0
2
0.9
17:41
#12 A. Kotalik (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.2
17:20
#17 J. Dumont (RW)
0
0
0
-1
0
0
0.0
17:37
#18 T. Connolly (C)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
13:14
#28 J. Botterill (LW)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.3
12:57
#37 C. Brown (C)
0
0
0
0
0
2
0.5
16:19
#61 M. Afinogenov (RW)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
11:11
#3 J. Patrick (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.0
21:35
#4 R. Warrener (D)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.4
20:24
#8 R. Fitzpatrick (D)
0
0
0
0
2
1
0.0
18:46
#21 R. Hecl (D)
0
0
0
0
0
1
0.1
8:01
#44 A. Zhitnik (D)
0
0
0
+1
2
4
0.2
29:24
#51 B. Campbell (D)
0
0
0
-1
0
2
0.3
21:02
Total
2
4
6
4
26
7.0
GoalieSAGAxGASV%GSAxGSTOIDec
#35 M. Noronen301.9672.260:00W

Team Stats

FLABUF
30Shots on Goal26
2Power Play Chances4
0%PP%25%
75%PK%100%
0PPG1
8Penalty Minutes4
20Hits22
8Blocked Shots15
15Giveaways21
5Takeaways5

Full Game Log

1ST
05:31GOAL (FLA): Kristian Huselius (20), assists: Pavel Trnka, Niklas Hagman
12:05GOAL (BUF): Chris Taylor (1), assists: Norman Milley, Eric Boulton
2ND
19:21GOAL (BUF): Daniel Brière (21), assists: Miroslav Satan, Jochen Hecht
vs COL (Mar 24, 2003)vs MTL (Mar 28, 2003) ›